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Zoid

A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page.

Price
$28.91
44.47 gems
Advertised RTP
89.98%
EV $26.01 from 25 items
Observed RTP, 30d
89.18%
5,029 openings, odds method
Variance
69.3×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 69
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
85.0%
of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
88.43%±58.01791 openings
7 days
90.72%±24.514,430 openings
30 days
89.18%±23.015,029 openings
since tracking started
89.18%±23.015,029 openings
30.0%88.5%147.0%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h79188.43%±58.0−0.1σodds
7d4,43090.72%±24.5+0.1σodds
30d5,02989.18%±23.0−0.1σodds
All5,02989.18%±23.0−0.1σodds
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values25 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 5,054 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
ItemOddsValueEV shareObservedExpectedHot / cold
★ Sport Gloves | Pandora's Box (Factory New)gloves · legendary1 in 100,000$39.9K 61,445 gems1.5%00.1—
★ Sport Gloves | Hedge Maze (Factory New)gloves · extraordinary1 in 10,000$17K 26,114 gems6.5%10.5—
★ Flip Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) - (Factory New) (Emerald)knife · Emerald1 in 1,111$2,005 3,084 gems6.9%44.50.88×
AK-47 | Wild Lotus (Battle-Scarred)weapon · covert1 in 1,000$1,625 2,499 gems6.2%45.10.79×
★ Karambit | Doppler (Factory New) - (Factory New) (Phase 2)knife · Phase 21 in 667$1,170 1,800 gems6.7%97.61.19×
★ M9 Bayonet | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) - (Factory New) (Phase 4)knife · Phase 41 in 500$1,073 1,651 gems8.3%410.10.40×
★ Specialist Gloves | Mogul (Factory New)gloves · extraordinary1 in 500$652 1,003 gems5.0%810.10.79×
★ Sport Gloves | Slingshot (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinary1 in 1,000$456 702 gems1.8%65.11.19×
★ Sport Gloves | Amphibious (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinary1 in 500$420 647 gems3.2%1110.11.09×
AUG | Akihabara Accept (Field-Tested)weapon · covert1 in 500$353 543 gems2.7%810.10.79×
★ Bayonet | Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear)knife · covert1 in 500$325 499 gems2.5%1110.11.09×
★ Stiletto Knifeknife · covert1 in 400$240 370 gems2.3%1012.60.79×
★ Specialist Gloves | Fade (Field-Tested)gloves · epic1 in 200$217 335 gems4.2%3025.31.19×
★ Ursus Knife | Slaughter (Factory New)knife · covert1 in 500$209 322 gems1.6%710.10.69×
StatTrak™ AWP | Asiimov (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · covert1 in 200$139 213 gems2.7%2425.30.95×
★ Huntsman Knife | Lore (Field-Tested)knife · covert1 in 33$122 188 gems14.1%151151.61.00×
Glock-18 | Gamma Doppler (Field-Tested) - (Field-Tested) (Emerald)weapon · Emerald1 in 200$104 160 gems2.0%2625.31.03×
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Red Laminate (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · classified1 in 33$65.15 100 gems7.5%173151.61.14×
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Asiimov (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · rare1 in 100$58.42 89.87 gems2.2%6450.51.27×
AK-47 | Vulcan (Battle-Scarred)weapon · covert1 in 167$47.68 73.35 gems1.1%3430.31.12×
Souvenir UMP-45 | Fade (Factory New)Souvenir · weapon · classified1 in 100$37.56 57.78 gems1.4%4950.50.97×
Glock-18 | Gamma Doppler (Factory New)weapon · red1 in 33$34.48 53.04 gems4.0%132151.60.87×
USP-S | Royal Blue (Factory New)weapon · industrial1 in 33$28.65 44.07 gems3.3%148151.60.98×
USP-S | Kill Confirmed (Field-Tested)weapon · covert1 in 50$26.96 41.47 gems2.1%98101.10.97×
Sticker | This Is Fine (Chicken)sticker · #4b69ff80.0%<$0.01 0.01 gems0.0%4,0424043.21.00×
Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from clash:api/cases/details, 11 Nov, 11:26 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

★ Sport Gloves | Hedge Maze (Factory New)gloves · extraordinary$28.9144.47 gems$17K26,114 gems587.2x
★ Flip Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) - (Factory New) (Emerald)knife · Emerald$28.9144.47 gems$2,0053,084 gems69.36x
★ Flip Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) - (Factory New) (Emerald)knife · Emerald$28.9144.47 gems$2,0053,084 gems69.36x
★ Flip Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) - (Factory New) (Emerald)knife · Emerald$28.9144.47 gems$2,0053,084 gems69.36x
★ Flip Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) - (Factory New) (Emerald)knife · Emeraldb0NK!$28.9144.47 gems$2,0053,084 gems69.36x
AK-47 | Wild Lotus (Battle-Scarred)weapon · covert$28.9144.47 gems$1,6252,499 gems56.20x
AK-47 | Wild Lotus (Battle-Scarred)weapon · covert$28.9144.47 gems$1,6252,499 gems56.20x
AK-47 | Wild Lotus (Battle-Scarred)weapon · covert$28.9144.47 gems$1,6252,499 gems56.20x
AK-47 | Wild Lotus (Battle-Scarred)weapon · covert$28.9144.47 gems$1,6252,499 gems56.20x
★ Karambit | Doppler (Factory New) - (Factory New) (Phase 2)knife · Phase 2$28.9144.47 gems$1,1701,800 gems40.47x

Latest dropsnewest first

All Latest drops →
Sticker | This Is Fine (Chicken)sticker · #4b69ff$28.9144.47 gems<$0.010.01 gems0.00x
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Red Laminate (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · classified$28.9144.47 gems$65.15100 gems2.25x
Sticker | This Is Fine (Chicken)sticker · #4b69ff$28.9144.47 gems<$0.010.01 gems0.00x
Sticker | This Is Fine (Chicken)sticker · #4b69ffMoncler$28.9144.47 gems<$0.010.01 gems0.00x
Sticker | This Is Fine (Chicken)sticker · #4b69ff$28.9144.47 gems<$0.010.01 gems0.00x
USP-S | Royal Blue (Factory New)weapon · industrial$28.9144.47 gems$28.6544.07 gems0.99x
Sticker | This Is Fine (Chicken)sticker · #4b69ffMoncler$28.9144.47 gems<$0.010.01 gems0.00x
USP-S | Royal Blue (Factory New)weapon · industrial$28.9144.47 gems$28.6544.07 gems0.99x
Sticker | This Is Fine (Chicken)sticker · #4b69ff$28.9144.47 gems<$0.010.01 gems0.00x
Sticker | This Is Fine (Chicken)sticker · #4b69ff$28.9144.47 gems<$0.010.01 gems0.00x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 89.98%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
3 Nov, 02:04 UTC$28.9189.98%25
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedlegendary 0.0%extraordinary 0.5%other 0.9%covert 7.0%epic 0.5%classified 4.0%rare 1.0%red 3.0%industrial 3.0%#4b69ff 80.0%best hit $17K (587.2x)