Red Reaper

A case on CSBattle, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSBattle's own item price converted from csbattle coin at the rate on the site page.

Price
$185.81
288 CSBATTLE_COIN
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
83.10%
780 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
48 openings · below min
7 days
594 openings · below min
30 days
780 openings · below min
since tracking started
780 openings · below min
-0.5%65.3%131.0%

Small sample. 780 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h4846.23%±63.0—sample
7d59491.91%±38.3—sample
30d78083.10%±31.3—sample
All78083.10%±31.3—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogCSBattle publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are CSBattle's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

★ Karambit | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby)knife · covert · Ruby$186288 CSBATTLE_COIN$9,12814,148 CSBATTLE_COIN49.12x
★ Talon Knife | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Ruby)knife · covert · Ruby$186288 CSBATTLE_COIN$5,5758,641 CSBATTLE_COIN30.00x
★ Butterfly Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New)knife · knifes$186288 CSBATTLE_COIN$4,8487,514 CSBATTLE_COIN26.09x
★ Butterfly Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New)knife · knifes$186288 CSBATTLE_COIN$4,8487,514 CSBATTLE_COIN26.09x
★ Butterfly Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New)knife · knifes$186288 CSBATTLE_COIN$4,8487,514 CSBATTLE_COIN26.09x
★ Specialist Gloves | Crimson Kimono (Minimal Wear)gloves · extraordinary$186288 CSBATTLE_COIN$3,8936,035 CSBATTLE_COIN20.95x

Latest dropsnewest first

Tec-9 | Red Quartz (Well-Worn)weapon · violet$186288 CSBATTLE_COIN$1.101.7 CSBATTLE_COIN0.01x
Tec-9 | Red Quartz (Well-Worn)weapon · violet$186288 CSBATTLE_COIN$1.101.7 CSBATTLE_COIN0.01x
Tec-9 | Red Quartz (Well-Worn)weapon · violet$186288 CSBATTLE_COIN$1.101.7 CSBATTLE_COIN0.01x
Tec-9 | Red Quartz (Well-Worn)weapon · violet$186288 CSBATTLE_COIN$1.101.7 CSBATTLE_COIN0.01x
Tec-9 | Red Quartz (Well-Worn)weapon · violet$186288 CSBATTLE_COIN$1.101.7 CSBATTLE_COIN0.01x
Tec-9 | Red Quartz (Well-Worn)weapon · violetHydrarewards.com$186288 CSBATTLE_COIN$1.101.7 CSBATTLE_COIN0.01x
Tec-9 | Red Quartz (Well-Worn)weapon · violet$186288 CSBATTLE_COIN$1.101.7 CSBATTLE_COIN0.01x
Tec-9 | Red Quartz (Well-Worn)weapon · violet$186288 CSBATTLE_COIN$1.101.7 CSBATTLE_COIN0.01x
Tec-9 | Red Quartz (Well-Worn)weapon · violet$186288 CSBATTLE_COIN$1.101.7 CSBATTLE_COIN0.01x
Tec-9 | Red Quartz (Well-Worn)weapon · violet$186288 CSBATTLE_COIN$1.101.7 CSBATTLE_COIN0.01x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $9,128 (49.12x)