10% Frgals Double

A case on CSBattle, first seen 8 Nov 2026. Every value is CSBattle's own item price converted from csbattle coin at the rate on the site page.

Price
$91.71
142 CSBATTLE_COIN
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
92.29%
156 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
7 days
156 openings · below min
30 days
156 openings · below min
since tracking started
156 openings · below min
60.5%92.5%124.5%

Small sample. 156 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h0———
7d15692.29%±31.3—sample
30d15692.29%±31.3—sample
All15692.29%±31.3—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogCSBattle publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are CSBattle's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

Glock-18 | Twilight Galaxy (Factory New)weapon · classified$91.71142 CSBATTLE_COIN$7701,193 CSBATTLE_COIN8.40x
Souvenir USP-S | Night Ops (Factory New)Souvenir · weapon · mil spec$91.71142 CSBATTLE_COIN$6611,025 CSBATTLE_COIN7.21x
Souvenir USP-S | Night Ops (Factory New)Souvenir · weapon · mil specAnimus^_-$91.71142 CSBATTLE_COIN$6611,025 CSBATTLE_COIN7.21x
Souvenir USP-S | Night Ops (Factory New)Souvenir · weapon · mil spec$91.71142 CSBATTLE_COIN$6611,025 CSBATTLE_COIN7.21x

Latest dropsnewest first

Sealed Graffiti | Little Crown (Blood Red)graffiti · Graffiti$91.71142 CSBATTLE_COIN$0.330.51 CSBATTLE_COIN0.00x
Sealed Graffiti | Little Crown (Blood Red)graffiti · Graffiti$91.71142 CSBATTLE_COIN$0.330.51 CSBATTLE_COIN0.00x
Sealed Graffiti | Little Crown (Monarch Blue)graffiti · Graffiti$91.71142 CSBATTLE_COIN$0.160.25 CSBATTLE_COIN0.00x
StatTrak™ USP-S | Kill Confirmed (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · covert$91.71142 CSBATTLE_COIN$453703 CSBATTLE_COIN4.94x
Sealed Graffiti | Little Crown (Monarch Blue)graffiti · Graffiti$91.71142 CSBATTLE_COIN$0.160.25 CSBATTLE_COIN0.00x
Sealed Graffiti | Little Crown (Monarch Blue)graffiti · GraffitiAnimus^_-$91.71142 CSBATTLE_COIN$0.160.25 CSBATTLE_COIN0.00x
Sealed Graffiti | Little Crown (Monarch Blue)graffiti · Graffiti$91.71142 CSBATTLE_COIN$0.160.25 CSBATTLE_COIN0.00x
Sealed Graffiti | Little Crown (Blood Red)graffiti · Graffiti$91.71142 CSBATTLE_COIN$0.330.51 CSBATTLE_COIN0.00x
Sealed Graffiti | Little Crown (Desert Amber)graffiti · Graffiti$91.71142 CSBATTLE_COIN$0.390.61 CSBATTLE_COIN0.00x
Sealed Graffiti | Little Crown (Monarch Blue)graffiti · Graffiti$91.71142 CSBATTLE_COIN$0.160.25 CSBATTLE_COIN0.00x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily
No data in this window

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $770 (8.40x)