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Хром Хартс

A case on csgo.net (Battle), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is csgo.net's own item price.

Price
$89.99
Advertised RTP
73.30%
EV $65.97 from 29 items
Observed RTP, 30d
73.08%
402 openings, odds method
Variance
0.4×
of price², per opening
Tail share
35.9%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
82.1%
of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
72 openings · below min
7 days
73.20%±6.31358 openings
30 days
73.08%±5.97402 openings
since tracking started
73.08%±5.97402 openings
62.5%77.5%92.5%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h7277.48%±14.2—odds
7d35873.20%±6.31−0.3σodds
30d40273.08%±5.97−0.3σodds
All40273.08%±5.97−0.3σodds
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values29 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 402 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
ItemOddsValueEV shareObservedExpectedHot / cold
M4A1-S | Knight (Factory New)weapon · classified1 in 9,852$3,2710.5%00.0—
★ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Factory New)knife · sunny1 in 9,381$1,9960.3%00.0—
AK-47 | Gold Arabesque (Field-Tested)weapon · covert1 in 7,439$1,1490.2%00.1—
AK-47 | Hydroponic (Field-Tested)weapon · classified1 in 5,540$8650.2%00.1—
M4A1-S | Welcome to the Jungle (Field-Tested)weapon · covert1 in 4,139$7160.3%00.1—
★ Sport Gloves | Nocts (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinary1 in 1,863$4890.4%10.2—
M4A1-S | Icarus Fell (Factory New)weapon · restricted1 in 1,310$4240.5%00.3—
★ M9 Bayonet | Black Laminate (Field-Tested)knife · covert1 in 1,259$4180.5%00.3—
★ Sport Gloves | Vice (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinary1 in 780$3480.7%00.5—
AUG | Akihabara Accept (Well-Worn)weapon · covert1 in 705$3350.7%00.6—
AK-47 | Case Hardened (Field-Tested)weapon · classified1 in 185$2051.7%02.20.00×
M4A1-S | Printstream (Field-Tested)weapon · covert1 in 100$1622.5%84.01.99×
Desert Eagle | Hypnotic (Factory New)weapon · classified1 in 55$1273.5%47.30.55×
AK-47 | Jaguar (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert1 in 31$97.364.7%1612.91.24×
P2000 | Ocean Foam (Factory New)weapon · classified1 in 28$92.495.0%1814.31.26×
SSG 08 | Blood in the Water (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert1 in 28$91.775.0%2614.51.79×
AK-47 | First Class (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted1 in 27$91.115.0%1314.70.88×
★ Bowie Knife | Blue Steel (Field-Tested)knife · gold1 in 26$89.025.2%215.30.13×
★ Moto Gloves | Smoke Out (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinary1 in 24$84.385.4%1916.91.12×
Tec-9 | Terrace (Well-Worn)weapon · Mil Spec Grade1 in 21$78.075.7%519.30.26×
Five-SeveN | Berries And Cherries (Factory New)weapon · restricted1 in 19$74.765.8%920.70.44×
Desert Eagle | Cobalt Disruption (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified1 in 17$67.616.1%2024.00.84×
AK-47 | Leet Museo (Well-Worn)weapon · covert1 in 16$65.686.2%2824.91.12×
USP-S | Kill Confirmed (Field-Tested)weapon · covert1 in 15$60.936.3%2227.30.81×
M4A1-S | Dark Water (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted1 in 13$53.496.3%3131.20.99×
USP-S | Orion (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified1 in 11$44.846.0%4035.51.13×
P90 | Cold Blooded (Factory New)weapon · classified1 in 11$40.175.7%4037.31.07×
AK-47 | Black Laminate (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec1 in 10$33.574.9%1638.70.41×
AK-47 | Inheritance (Field-Tested)weapon · red1 in 10$32.874.8%3038.70.77×
Values are csgo.net's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from csgo-net:pf_case_ranges, 11 Nov, 08:54 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Latest dropsnewest first

All Latest drops →
M4A1-S | Bright Waterweapon · violetKeep™$89.99$30.080.33x
Desert Eagle | Cobalt Disruption (Minimal Wear)weapon · classifiedKeep™$89.99$67.600.75x
Tec-9 | Terrace (Well-Worn)weapon · Mil Spec GradeKeep™$89.99$78.170.87x
P90 | Cold Blooded (Factory New)weapon · classifiedburning$89.99$40.020.44x
P90 | Cold Blooded (Factory New)weapon · classifiedsmagomaev$89.99$40.220.45x
★ Bowie Knife | Blue Steel (Field-Tested)knife · goldСолодкий Персик$89.99$89.030.99x
AK-47 | Inheritance (Field-Tested)weapon · redСолодкий Персик$89.99$32.500.36x
USP-S | Kill Confirmed (Field-Tested)weapon · covertСолодкий Персик$89.99$60.410.67x
USP-S | Kill Confirmed (Field-Tested)weapon · covertПанч$89.99$60.720.67x
P2000 | Ocean Foam (Factory New)weapon · classified240 km/h peek хасбулла$89.99$92.641.03x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 73.30%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
11 Nov, 08:54 UTC$89.9973.30%29
11 Nov, 02:44 UTC$89.9973.13%29
10 Nov, 20:44 UTC$89.9973.12%29
10 Nov, 14:44 UTC$89.9973.40%29
10 Nov, 08:34 UTC$89.9973.72%29
10 Nov, 02:24 UTC$89.9973.73%29
9 Nov, 20:24 UTC$89.9973.71%29
9 Nov, 14:24 UTC$89.9973.77%29
9 Nov, 08:24 UTC$89.9973.84%29
9 Nov, 02:14 UTC$89.9974.25%30
9 Nov, 01:55 UTC$89.9974.22%30
9 Nov, 00:05 UTC$89.9974.21%29
8 Nov, 18:22 UTC$89.9974.24%29
8 Nov, 12:22 UTC$89.9974.24%29
8 Nov, 06:22 UTC$89.9974.24%30
8 Nov, 00:02 UTC$89.9974.25%29
7 Nov, 18:02 UTC$89.9974.22%30
7 Nov, 12:02 UTC$89.9974.23%29
7 Nov, 06:02 UTC$89.9974.24%29
7 Nov, 00:02 UTC$89.9974.24%30
6 Nov, 18:02 UTC$89.9974.18%30
6 Nov, 11:41 UTC$89.9974.30%29
6 Nov, 05:21 UTC$89.9974.63%30
5 Nov, 22:51 UTC$89.9974.64%30
5 Nov, 16:41 UTC$89.9974.55%30
5 Nov, 10:41 UTC$89.9974.25%30
5 Nov, 04:41 UTC$89.9974.34%30
4 Nov, 22:41 UTC$89.9974.33%30
4 Nov, 16:31 UTC$89.9974.34%30
4 Nov, 14:19 UTC$89.9974.31%29
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedclassified 30.0%sunny 0.0%covert 21.1%extraordinary 4.4%restricted 16.6%gold 3.8%Mil Spec Grade 4.8%mil spec 9.6%red 9.6%best hit —