Кофейный перерыв
A case on csgo.net (Battle), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is csgo.net's own item price.
Price
$2.69
Advertised RTP
76.49%
EV $2.06 from 28 items
Observed RTP, 30d
80.17%
865 openings, odds method
Variance
0.6×
of price², per opening
Tail share
39.3%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
88.4%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values28 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 875 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are csgo.net's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
csgo-net:pf_case_ranges, 11 Nov, 08:54 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 76.49%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov, 08:54 UTC | $2.69 | 76.49% | 28 |
| 11 Nov, 02:44 UTC | $2.69 | 76.41% | 28 |
| 10 Nov, 20:44 UTC | $2.69 | 76.33% | 28 |
| 10 Nov, 14:44 UTC | $2.69 | 76.66% | 28 |
| 10 Nov, 08:34 UTC | $2.69 | 76.96% | 28 |
| 10 Nov, 02:24 UTC | $2.69 | 76.98% | 28 |
| 9 Nov, 20:24 UTC | $2.69 | 76.95% | 28 |
| 9 Nov, 14:24 UTC | $2.69 | 77.03% | 28 |
| 9 Nov, 08:24 UTC | $2.69 | 77.03% | 28 |
| 9 Nov, 02:14 UTC | $2.69 | 77.54% | 28 |
| 9 Nov, 01:55 UTC | $2.69 | 77.47% | 28 |
| 9 Nov, 00:05 UTC | $2.69 | 77.47% | 28 |
| 8 Nov, 18:22 UTC | $2.69 | 77.51% | 28 |
| 8 Nov, 12:22 UTC | $2.69 | 77.57% | 28 |
| 8 Nov, 06:22 UTC | $2.69 | 77.52% | 28 |
| 8 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $2.69 | 77.58% | 28 |
| 7 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $2.69 | 77.55% | 28 |
| 7 Nov, 12:02 UTC | $2.69 | 77.52% | 28 |
| 7 Nov, 06:02 UTC | $2.69 | 77.53% | 28 |
| 7 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $2.69 | 77.54% | 28 |
| 6 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $2.69 | 77.50% | 28 |
| 6 Nov, 11:41 UTC | $2.69 | 77.56% | 28 |
| 6 Nov, 05:21 UTC | $2.69 | 77.89% | 28 |
| 5 Nov, 22:51 UTC | $2.69 | 77.94% | 28 |
| 5 Nov, 16:41 UTC | $2.69 | 77.83% | 28 |
| 5 Nov, 10:41 UTC | $2.69 | 77.52% | 28 |
| 5 Nov, 04:41 UTC | $2.69 | 77.63% | 28 |
| 4 Nov, 22:41 UTC | $2.69 | 77.60% | 28 |
| 4 Nov, 16:31 UTC | $2.69 | 77.65% | 28 |
| 4 Nov, 14:19 UTC | $2.69 | 77.68% | 28 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedepic 0.0%covert knife 0.0%extraordinary 0.0%Covert 0.0%Ancient 0.0%classified 1.1%Legendary 5.4%#d32ee6 0.1%Classified 0.1%pink 0.1%#8847ff 28.3%violet 5.8%restricted 49.5%Mythical 9.7%best hit —