Огонь и вода
A case on csgo.net, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is csgo.net's own item price.
Price
$80.99
Advertised RTP
67.44%
EV $54.62 from 30 items
Observed RTP, 30d
65.63%
235 openings, odds method
Variance
0.5×
of price², per opening
Tail share
23.9%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
71.3%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values30 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 236 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are csgo.net's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
csgo-net:pf_case_ranges, 11 Nov, 08:54 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 67.44%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov, 08:54 UTC | $80.99 | 67.44% | 30 |
| 11 Nov, 02:44 UTC | $80.99 | 67.28% | 30 |
| 10 Nov, 20:44 UTC | $80.99 | 67.26% | 30 |
| 10 Nov, 14:44 UTC | $80.99 | 67.52% | 30 |
| 10 Nov, 08:34 UTC | $80.99 | 67.82% | 30 |
| 10 Nov, 02:24 UTC | $80.99 | 67.83% | 30 |
| 9 Nov, 20:24 UTC | $80.99 | 67.81% | 30 |
| 9 Nov, 14:24 UTC | $80.99 | 67.87% | 30 |
| 9 Nov, 08:24 UTC | $80.99 | 67.93% | 30 |
| 9 Nov, 02:14 UTC | $80.99 | 68.31% | 30 |
| 9 Nov, 01:55 UTC | $80.99 | 68.28% | 30 |
| 9 Nov, 00:05 UTC | $80.99 | 68.27% | 30 |
| 8 Nov, 18:22 UTC | $80.99 | 68.30% | 30 |
| 8 Nov, 12:22 UTC | $80.99 | 68.30% | 30 |
| 8 Nov, 06:22 UTC | $80.99 | 68.30% | 30 |
| 8 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $80.99 | 68.31% | 30 |
| 7 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $80.99 | 68.28% | 30 |
| 7 Nov, 12:02 UTC | $80.99 | 68.29% | 30 |
| 7 Nov, 06:02 UTC | $80.99 | 68.30% | 30 |
| 7 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $80.99 | 68.30% | 30 |
| 6 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $80.99 | 68.24% | 30 |
| 6 Nov, 11:41 UTC | $80.99 | 68.35% | 30 |
| 6 Nov, 05:21 UTC | $80.99 | 68.66% | 30 |
| 5 Nov, 22:51 UTC | $80.99 | 68.67% | 30 |
| 5 Nov, 16:41 UTC | $80.99 | 68.59% | 30 |
| 5 Nov, 10:41 UTC | $80.99 | 68.31% | 30 |
| 5 Nov, 04:41 UTC | $80.99 | 68.39% | 30 |
| 4 Nov, 22:41 UTC | $80.99 | 68.38% | 30 |
| 4 Nov, 16:31 UTC | $80.99 | 68.39% | 30 |
| 4 Nov, 14:19 UTC | $80.99 | 68.37% | 30 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedsunny 3.6%covert knife 0.0%covert 43.0%epic 0.1%#ffd700 0.4%Covert 5.0%classified 47.9%best hit —