Glock-18
A case on csgo.net (Battle), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is csgo.net's own item price.
Price
$1.69
Advertised RTP
61.66%
EV $1.04 from 38 items
Observed RTP, 30d
61.74%
2,942 openings, odds method
Variance
0.5×
of price², per opening
Tail share
37.4%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
87.9%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values38 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 2,962 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are csgo.net's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
csgo-net:pf_case_ranges, 11 Nov, 08:54 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 61.66%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov, 08:54 UTC | $1.69 | 61.66% | 38 |
| 11 Nov, 02:44 UTC | $1.69 | 61.56% | 38 |
| 10 Nov, 20:44 UTC | $1.69 | 61.43% | 38 |
| 10 Nov, 14:44 UTC | $1.69 | 61.81% | 38 |
| 10 Nov, 08:34 UTC | $1.69 | 62.04% | 38 |
| 10 Nov, 02:24 UTC | $1.69 | 62.08% | 38 |
| 9 Nov, 20:24 UTC | $1.69 | 62.02% | 38 |
| 9 Nov, 14:24 UTC | $1.69 | 62.07% | 38 |
| 9 Nov, 08:24 UTC | $1.69 | 62.12% | 38 |
| 9 Nov, 02:14 UTC | $1.69 | 62.48% | 38 |
| 9 Nov, 01:55 UTC | $1.69 | 62.54% | 38 |
| 9 Nov, 00:05 UTC | $1.69 | 62.53% | 38 |
| 8 Nov, 18:22 UTC | $1.69 | 62.48% | 39 |
| 8 Nov, 12:22 UTC | $1.69 | 62.48% | 38 |
| 8 Nov, 06:22 UTC | $1.69 | 62.36% | 38 |
| 8 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $1.69 | 62.44% | 38 |
| 7 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $1.69 | 62.34% | 38 |
| 7 Nov, 12:02 UTC | $1.69 | 62.43% | 38 |
| 7 Nov, 06:02 UTC | $1.69 | 62.38% | 38 |
| 7 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $1.69 | 62.43% | 38 |
| 6 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $1.69 | 62.31% | 38 |
| 6 Nov, 11:41 UTC | $1.69 | 62.43% | 38 |
| 6 Nov, 05:21 UTC | $1.69 | 62.74% | 38 |
| 5 Nov, 22:51 UTC | $1.69 | 62.69% | 38 |
| 5 Nov, 16:41 UTC | $1.69 | 62.68% | 38 |
| 5 Nov, 10:41 UTC | $1.69 | 62.47% | 38 |
| 5 Nov, 04:41 UTC | $1.69 | 62.43% | 39 |
| 4 Nov, 22:41 UTC | $1.69 | 62.49% | 39 |
| 4 Nov, 16:31 UTC | $1.69 | 62.58% | 38 |
| 4 Nov, 14:19 UTC | $1.69 | 62.56% | 39 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedrestricted 6.0%classified 0.0%red 0.0%Mythical 11.1%Covert 0.0%covert 0.0%Ancient 0.0%Legendary 0.8%rare 0.0%industrial 0.0%mil spec 22.6%violet 1.6%Uncommon 2.6%pink 0.2%Industrial Grade 5.5%#8847ff 37.6%Rare 12.0%best hit —