Висячие сады Семирамиды

A case on csgo.net, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is csgo.net's own item price.

Price

$129.00

Advertised RTP

72.18%

EV $93.11 from 22 items

Observed RTP, 30d

71.33%

196 openings, odds method

Variance

0.2×

of price², per opening

Tail share

32.0%

of openings carry half the EV

Below price

85.6%

of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample

24 hours

19 openings · below min

7 days

70.82%±7.23156 openings

30 days

71.33%±6.46196 openings

since tracking started

71.33%±6.46196 openings

35.0%56.8%78.5%

Windowsthe test per window

Window	Openings	Observed	Dev.	Method
24h	19	56.04%±20.6	—	odds
7d	156	70.82%±7.23	−0.6σ	odds
30d	196	71.33%±6.46	−0.5σ	odds
All	196	71.33%±6.46	−0.5σ	odds

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values22 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 200 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

Item	Odds	Value	EV share	Observed	Expected	Hot / cold
AK-47 \| Fire Serpent (Field-Tested)weapon · covert	1 in 1,337	$667	0.5%	0	0.1	—
Desert Eagle \| Blaze (Factory New)weapon · rare	1 in 818	$563	0.7%	0	0.2	—
★ Butterfly Knife \| Stained (Field-Tested)knife · covert	1 in 741	$544	0.8%	0	0.3	—
Desert Eagle \| Sunset Storm 弐 (Factory New)weapon · restricted	1 in 428	$448	1.1%	0	0.5	—
M4A1-S \| Icarus Fell (Factory New)weapon · restricted	1 in 366	$424	1.2%	1	0.5	—
★ Driver Gloves \| Snow Leopard (Field-Tested)gloves · sunny	1 in 72	$230	3.4%	1	2.8	0.36×
AK-47 \| Case Hardened (Field-Tested)weapon · classified	1 in 55	$205	4.0%	1	3.7	0.27×
AWP \| Oni Taiji (Field-Tested)weapon · covert	1 in 51	$199	4.2%	5	3.9	1.28×
★ Huntsman Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New)knife · sunny	1 in 48	$193	4.4%	1	4.2	0.24×
M4A1-S \| Printstream (Field-Tested)weapon · covert	1 in 33	$162	5.3%	6	6.1	0.98×
AK-47 \| Vulcan (Field-Tested)weapon · covert	1 in 31	$156	5.5%	7	6.5	1.07×
AWP \| Graphite (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified	1 in 20	$122	6.6%	6	10.1	0.59×
★ Hand Wraps \| CAUTION! (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinary	1 in 17	$109	6.9%	9	11.8	0.76×
M4A1-S \| Master Piece (Field-Tested)weapon · classified	1 in 15	$99.46	7.1%	9	13.3	0.68×
P2000 \| Ocean Foam (Factory New)weapon · classified	1 in 14	$92.49	7.1%	12	14.3	0.84×
P90 \| Emerald Dragon (Field-Tested)weapon · classified	1 in 13	$87.48	7.1%	6	15.1	0.40×
★ Moto Gloves \| Smoke Out (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinary	1 in 13	$84.38	7.0%	12	15.5	0.77×
★ Ursus Knife \| Stained (Minimal Wear)knife · covert	1 in 11	$70.49	6.6%	1	17.4	0.06×
USP-S \| Dark Water (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted	1 in 11	$55.19	5.5%	21	18.5	1.14×
USP-S \| Serum (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified	1 in 11	$53.93	5.4%	14	18.5	0.76×
AWP \| Containment Breach (Field-Tested)weapon · covert	1 in 11	$51.77	5.1%	15	18.5	0.81×
AWP \| Hyper Beast (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert	1 in 11	$44.54	4.3%	9	18.1	0.50×

Values are csgo.net's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from csgo-net:pf_case_ranges, 11 Nov, 08:54 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Latest dropsnewest first

All →

USP-S | Dark Water (Field-Tested)weapon · restrictedMrBaraban1337$129$55.280.43x4h

USP-S | Dark Water (Field-Tested)weapon · restrictedЗахарЗубрайло$129$55.190.43x5h

P2000 | Ocean Foam (Factory New)weapon · classifiedSEvER$129$92.490.72x5h

★ Ursus Knife | Stained (Well-Worn)knife · covert knifewsedrftgyhujikl$129$70.330.55x6h

P2000 | Ocean Foam (Factory New)weapon · classifiedwsedrftgyhujikl$129$92.560.72x6h

USP-S | Dark Water (Field-Tested)weapon · restricteddonaldluther1949$129$55.610.43x8h

USP-S | Serum (Minimal Wear)weapon · classifiedVLIQ$129$55.900.43x10h

★ Hand Wraps | CAUTION! (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinaryVLIQ$129$1070.83x10h

AWP | Containment Breach (Field-Tested)weapon · covertVLIQ$129$51.090.40x12h

P90 | Emerald Dragon (Field-Tested)weapon · classifiedVLIQ$129$86.620.67x12h

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 72.18%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

Captured	Price	Advertised	Items
11 Nov, 08:54 UTC	$129	72.18%	22
11 Nov, 02:44 UTC	$129	72.01%	22
10 Nov, 20:44 UTC	$129	72.00%	23
10 Nov, 14:44 UTC	$129	72.27%	22
10 Nov, 08:34 UTC	$129	72.59%	21
10 Nov, 02:24 UTC	$129	72.60%	22
9 Nov, 20:24 UTC	$129	72.58%	22
9 Nov, 14:24 UTC	$129	72.64%	22
9 Nov, 08:24 UTC	$129	72.70%	22
9 Nov, 02:14 UTC	$129	73.11%	22
9 Nov, 01:55 UTC	$129	73.09%	22
9 Nov, 00:05 UTC	$129	73.08%	22
8 Nov, 18:22 UTC	$129	73.10%	22
8 Nov, 12:22 UTC	$129	73.10%	22
8 Nov, 06:22 UTC	$129	73.10%	21
8 Nov, 00:02 UTC	$129	73.11%	21
7 Nov, 18:02 UTC	$129	73.08%	22
7 Nov, 12:02 UTC	$129	73.09%	21
7 Nov, 06:02 UTC	$129	73.10%	21
7 Nov, 00:02 UTC	$129	73.10%	22
6 Nov, 18:02 UTC	$129	73.04%	22
6 Nov, 11:41 UTC	$129	73.16%	22
6 Nov, 05:21 UTC	$129	73.49%	21
5 Nov, 22:51 UTC	$129	73.50%	21
5 Nov, 16:41 UTC	$129	73.41%	22
5 Nov, 10:41 UTC	$129	73.11%	22
5 Nov, 04:41 UTC	$129	73.20%	22
4 Nov, 22:41 UTC	$129	73.19%	22
4 Nov, 16:31 UTC	$129	73.20%	22
4 Nov, 14:19 UTC	$129	73.18%	22

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedcovert 35.5%rare 0.1%restricted 9.8%sunny 3.5%classified 37.5%extraordinary 13.7%best hit —