Hyper Knife
A case on csgo.net (Battle), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is csgo.net's own item price.
Price
$80.99
Advertised RTP
76.63%
EV $62.06 from 30 items
Observed RTP, 30d
78.22%
471 openings, odds method
Variance
0.3×
of price², per opening
Tail share
29.7%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
74.9%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values30 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 471 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are csgo.net's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
csgo-net:pf_case_ranges, 11 Nov, 08:54 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 76.63%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov, 08:54 UTC | $80.99 | 76.63% | 30 |
| 11 Nov, 02:44 UTC | $80.99 | 76.46% | 30 |
| 10 Nov, 20:44 UTC | $80.99 | 76.44% | 30 |
| 10 Nov, 14:44 UTC | $80.99 | 76.73% | 30 |
| 10 Nov, 08:34 UTC | $80.99 | 77.07% | 30 |
| 10 Nov, 02:24 UTC | $80.99 | 77.07% | 30 |
| 9 Nov, 20:24 UTC | $80.99 | 77.06% | 30 |
| 9 Nov, 14:24 UTC | $80.99 | 77.12% | 30 |
| 9 Nov, 08:24 UTC | $80.99 | 77.19% | 30 |
| 9 Nov, 02:14 UTC | $80.99 | 77.62% | 30 |
| 9 Nov, 01:55 UTC | $80.99 | 77.59% | 30 |
| 9 Nov, 00:05 UTC | $80.99 | 77.58% | 30 |
| 8 Nov, 18:22 UTC | $80.99 | 77.61% | 30 |
| 8 Nov, 12:22 UTC | $80.99 | 77.61% | 30 |
| 8 Nov, 06:22 UTC | $80.99 | 77.61% | 30 |
| 8 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $80.99 | 77.62% | 30 |
| 7 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $80.99 | 77.59% | 30 |
| 7 Nov, 12:02 UTC | $80.99 | 77.60% | 30 |
| 7 Nov, 06:02 UTC | $80.99 | 77.61% | 30 |
| 7 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $80.99 | 77.61% | 30 |
| 6 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $80.99 | 77.55% | 30 |
| 6 Nov, 11:41 UTC | $80.99 | 77.67% | 30 |
| 6 Nov, 05:21 UTC | $80.99 | 78.02% | 30 |
| 5 Nov, 22:51 UTC | $80.99 | 78.03% | 30 |
| 5 Nov, 16:41 UTC | $80.99 | 77.94% | 30 |
| 5 Nov, 10:41 UTC | $80.99 | 77.62% | 30 |
| 5 Nov, 04:41 UTC | $80.99 | 77.72% | 30 |
| 4 Nov, 22:41 UTC | $80.99 | 77.70% | 30 |
| 4 Nov, 16:31 UTC | $80.99 | 77.72% | 30 |
| 4 Nov, 14:19 UTC | $80.99 | 77.69% | 30 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 53.6%sunny 2.1%covert knife 1.0%red 24.8%classified 11.6%rare 6.9%best hit —