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iPhone Duo

A case on csgo.net, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is csgo.net's own item price.

Price
$24.99
Advertised RTP
74.65%
EV $18.66 from 29 items
Observed RTP, 30d
77.40%
477 openings, odds method
Variance
0.5×
of price², per opening
Tail share
33.4%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
85.4%
of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
56 openings · below min
7 days
77.63%±6.88447 openings
30 days
77.40%±6.67477 openings
since tracking started
77.40%±6.67477 openings
47.5%67.5%87.5%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h5667.51%±19.3—odds
7d44777.63%±6.88+0.7σodds
30d47777.40%±6.67+0.6σodds
All47777.40%±6.67+0.6σodds
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values29 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 477 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
ItemOddsValueEV shareObservedExpectedHot / cold
★ M9 Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New)knife · sunny1 in 9,719$7990.4%00.0—
★ Sport Gloves | Superconductor (Battle-Scarred)gloves · extraordinary1 in 9,634$7290.4%00.0—
★ Sport Gloves | Nocts (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinary1 in 8,872$4870.3%00.1—
★ M9 Bayonet | Black Laminate (Field-Tested)knife · covert1 in 8,392$4250.3%00.1—
★ M9 Bayonet | Stained (Field-Tested)knife · covert knife1 in 7,477$3520.3%00.1—
★ Specialist Gloves | Blackbook (Field-Tested)gloves · rare1 in 4,050$2150.3%00.1—
Desert Eagle | Golden Koi (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert1 in 2,533$1700.4%00.2—
M4A1-S | Printstream (Field-Tested)weapon · covert1 in 2,195$1600.4%00.2—
AK-47 | Vulcan (Field-Tested)weapon · covert1 in 2,091$1560.4%10.2—
AWP | Graphite (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified1 in 1,173$1240.6%10.4—
USP-S | Neo-Noir (Field-Tested)weapon · covert1 in 595$96.010.9%10.8—
AK-47 | AUTOEXEC (Well-Worn)weapon · red1 in 388$82.141.1%11.20.81×
MP9 | Stained Glass (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted1 in 372$80.891.2%21.31.56×
Desert Eagle | Cobalt Disruption (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified1 in 229$67.851.6%32.11.44×
★ Paracord Knife | Blue Steel (Field-Tested)knife · covert1 in 214$66.171.7%22.20.90×
M4A4 | The Emperor (Minimal Wear)weapon · red1 in 153$58.502.0%33.10.96×
AWP | LongDog (Well-Worn)weapon · red1 in 41$34.974.5%1211.51.04×
USP-S | Whiteout (Field-Tested)weapon · classified1 in 38$33.874.7%1212.40.97×
AK-47 | Inheritance (Field-Tested)weapon · red1 in 31$30.885.3%1515.30.98×
M4A4 | Temukau (Field-Tested)weapon · covert1 in 26$28.415.8%2318.31.26×
AK-47 | Redline (Field-Tested)weapon · classified1 in 19$24.416.8%3224.61.30×
Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted1 in 16$22.187.3%3229.21.10×
Five-SeveN | Fairy Tale (Field-Tested)weapon · Legendary1 in 13$19.467.8%3335.90.92×
Glock-18 | AXIA (Minimal Wear)weapon · rare1 in 13$19.067.9%3636.90.97×
SSG 08 | Turbo Peek (Field-Tested)weapon · #d32ee61 in 11$16.158.2%4745.41.03×
Desert Eagle | Eastern Enigma (Well-Worn)weapon · pink11.6%$12.758.0%4055.60.72×
M4A4 | Desolate Space (Field-Tested)weapon · classified12.1%$11.877.7%4357.80.74×
Five-SeveN | Case Hardened (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted12.6%$10.617.2%4660.30.76×
AWP | Elite Build (Field-Tested)weapon · classified12.9%$9.516.6%6361.61.02×
Values are csgo.net's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from csgo-net:pf_case_ranges, 11 Nov, 14:55 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Latest dropsnewest first

All Latest drops →
SSG 08 | Turbo Peek (Field-Tested)weapon · #d32ee6The oNe$24.99$16.170.65x
Glock-18 | AXIA (Minimal Wear)weapon · rareThe oNe$24.99$19.050.76x
AWP | Elite Build (Field-Tested)weapon · classifiedThe oNe$24.99$9.510.38x
Five-SeveN | Case Hardened (Field-Tested)weapon · restrictedThe oNe$24.99$10.460.42x
Five-SeveN | Case Hardened (Field-Tested)weapon · restrictedSprull$24.99$10.480.42x
SSG 08 | Turbo Peek (Field-Tested)weapon · #d32ee6Skala$24.99$16.110.64x
Glock-18 | AXIA (Minimal Wear)weapon · rareSkala$24.99$19.260.77x
Five-SeveN | Case Hardened (Field-Tested)weapon · restrictedMashono4ka♿$24.99$10.590.42x
USP-S | Whiteout (Field-Tested)weapon · classifiedMashono4ka♿$24.99$33.831.35x
Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT (Field-Tested)weapon · restrictedMashono4ka♿$24.99$22.220.89x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 74.65%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
11 Nov, 14:55 UTC$24.9974.65%29
11 Nov, 08:54 UTC$24.9974.48%29
11 Nov, 02:44 UTC$24.9974.31%30
10 Nov, 20:44 UTC$24.9974.29%29
10 Nov, 14:44 UTC$24.9974.57%29
10 Nov, 08:34 UTC$24.9974.90%30
10 Nov, 02:24 UTC$24.9974.91%29
9 Nov, 20:24 UTC$24.9974.89%29
9 Nov, 14:24 UTC$24.9974.95%29
9 Nov, 08:24 UTC$24.9975.02%29
9 Nov, 02:14 UTC$24.9975.44%29
9 Nov, 01:55 UTC$24.9975.41%29
9 Nov, 00:05 UTC$24.9975.40%29
8 Nov, 18:22 UTC$24.9975.43%29
8 Nov, 12:22 UTC$24.9975.43%29
8 Nov, 06:22 UTC$24.9975.43%29
8 Nov, 00:02 UTC$24.9975.44%29
7 Nov, 18:02 UTC$24.9975.41%29
7 Nov, 12:02 UTC$24.9975.42%29
7 Nov, 06:02 UTC$24.9975.43%29
7 Nov, 00:02 UTC$24.9975.43%29
6 Nov, 18:02 UTC$24.9975.37%29
6 Nov, 11:41 UTC$24.9975.49%29
6 Nov, 05:21 UTC$24.9975.83%30
5 Nov, 22:51 UTC$24.9975.83%29
5 Nov, 16:41 UTC$24.9975.74%29
5 Nov, 10:41 UTC$24.9975.44%29
5 Nov, 04:41 UTC$24.9975.53%29
4 Nov, 22:41 UTC$24.9975.52%29
4 Nov, 16:31 UTC$24.9975.53%29
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedsunny 0.0%extraordinary 0.0%covert 4.6%covert knife 0.0%rare 7.8%classified 33.3%red 6.5%restricted 19.0%Legendary 7.5%#d32ee6 9.5%pink 11.6%best hit —