Maybach GLS

A case on csgo.net (Ultra), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is csgo.net's own item price.

Price

$679.00

Advertised RTP

73.05%

EV $496.03 from 16 items

Observed RTP, 30d

78.16%

25 openings, odds method

Variance

0.1×

of price², per opening

Tail share

42.0%

of openings carry half the EV

Below price

83.1%

of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample

24 hours

5 openings · below min

7 days

21 openings · below min

30 days

25 openings · below min

since tracking started

25 openings · below min

39.5%72.8%106.0%

Small sample. 25 openings and 10.0 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

Window	Openings	Observed	Dev.	Method
24h	5	72.98%±32.6	—	odds
7d	21	79.36%±16.3	—	odds
30d	25	78.16%±14.9	—	odds
All	25	78.16%±14.9	—	odds

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values16 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 25 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

Item	Odds	Value	EV share	Observed	Expected	Hot / cold
AWP \| Medusa (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert	1 in 661	$2,978	0.9%	0	0.0	—
★ Butterfly Knife \| Doppler (Factory New)knife · sunny	1 in 233	$2,030	1.8%	0	0.1	—
Glock-18 \| Fade (Factory New)weapon · restricted	1 in 53	$1,141	4.4%	1	0.5	—
★ Karambit \| Doppler (Factory New)knife · Covert	1 in 51	$1,124	4.5%	0	0.5	—
M4A4 \| Poseidon (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified	1 in 44	$1,061	4.8%	1	0.6	—
★ Sport Gloves \| Superconductor (Battle-Scarred)gloves · extraordinary	1 in 21	$729	7.1%	2	1.2	1.65×
★ Butterfly Knife \| Blue Steel (Well-Worn)knife · covert	1 in 19	$685	7.4%	0	1.3	0.00×
★ Skeleton Knife \| Doppler (Factory New)knife · covert knife	1 in 13	$520	8.3%	4	2.0	2.03×
★ Butterfly Knife \| Bright Water (Minimal Wear)knife · covert	1 in 12	$485	8.3%	1	2.1	0.47×
M4A1-S \| Blue Phosphor (Factory New)weapon · classified	1 in 12	$477	8.3%	1	2.2	0.46×
AWP \| Lightning Strike (Factory New)weapon · covert	1 in 11	$464	8.3%	1	2.2	0.45×
★ Karambit \| Night (Field-Tested)knife · #ffd700	1 in 11	$457	8.3%	3	2.2	1.34×
AUG \| Akihabara Accept (Field-Tested)weapon · covert	1 in 11	$456	8.3%	1	2.2	0.44×
★ Stiletto Knife \| Doppler (Factory New)knife · sunny	1 in 11	$433	8.2%	0	2.3	0.00×
★ Sport Gloves \| Amphibious (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinary	10.9%	$256	5.6%	2	2.7	0.73×
Glock-18 \| Synth Leaf (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted	10.9%	$253	5.6%	3	2.7	1.10×

Values are csgo.net's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from csgo-net:pf_case_ranges, 11 Nov, 14:55 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

Glock-18 | Fade (Factory New)weapon · restrictedBARAKUDA$679$1,2121.78x23h

M4A4 | Poseidon (Minimal Wear)weapon · classifiedVLIQ$679$1,1411.68x3d

★ Butterfly Knife | Blue Steel (Minimal Wear)knife · goldVLIQ$679$8361.23x2d

★ Sport Gloves | Superconductor (Battle-Scarred)gloves · extraordinaryLoading...$679$7591.12x4d

★ Butterfly Knife | Blue Steel (Field-Tested)knife · covertkiber_n1$679$7591.12x6d

★ Sport Gloves | Superconductor (Battle-Scarred)gloves · extraordinaryVLIQ$679$7251.07x11h

★ Skeleton Knife | Doppler (Factory New)knife · covert knifeVLIQ$679$5480.81x2d

★ Skeleton Knife | Doppler (Factory New)knife · covert knifeFarga$679$5470.81x1d

★ Skeleton Knife | Doppler (Factory New)knife · covert knifePoromedic$679$5440.80x7d

★ Skeleton Knife | Doppler (Factory New)knife · covert knifefrabbz$679$5420.80x6d

Latest dropsnewest first

All →

AUG | Akihabara Accept (Well-Worn)weapon · covertЗахарЗубрайло$679$3350.49x6h

★ Sport Gloves | Superconductor (Battle-Scarred)gloves · extraordinaryVLIQ$679$7251.07x11h

★ Karambit | Night (Field-Tested)knife · #ffd700MPC TURN OFF CAPS$679$4620.68x12h

★ Karambit | Night (Field-Tested)knife · #ffd700MPC TURN OFF CAPS$679$4620.68x13h

★ Butterfly Knife | Bright Water (Minimal Wear)knife · covertPoromedic$679$4940.73x21h

Glock-18 | Fade (Factory New)weapon · restrictedBARAKUDA$679$1,2121.78x23h

Glock-18 | Synth Leaf (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted626$679$2530.37x1d

★ Skeleton Knife | Doppler (Factory New)knife · covert knifeFarga$679$5470.81x1d

AWP | Lightning Strike (Factory New)weapon · covertFarga$679$4500.66x1d

★ Sport Gloves | Amphibious (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinaryDarkus$679$2640.39x1d

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 73.05%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

Captured	Price	Advertised	Items
11 Nov, 14:55 UTC	$679	73.05%	16
11 Nov, 08:54 UTC	$679	72.87%	16
11 Nov, 02:44 UTC	$679	72.70%	16
10 Nov, 20:44 UTC	$679	72.68%	16
10 Nov, 14:44 UTC	$679	72.96%	16
10 Nov, 08:34 UTC	$679	73.28%	16
10 Nov, 02:24 UTC	$679	73.29%	16
9 Nov, 20:24 UTC	$679	73.27%	16
9 Nov, 14:24 UTC	$679	73.34%	16
9 Nov, 08:24 UTC	$679	73.40%	16
9 Nov, 02:14 UTC	$679	73.81%	16
9 Nov, 01:55 UTC	$679	73.78%	16
9 Nov, 00:05 UTC	$679	73.78%	16
8 Nov, 18:22 UTC	$679	73.80%	16
8 Nov, 12:22 UTC	$679	73.80%	16
8 Nov, 06:22 UTC	$679	73.80%	16
8 Nov, 00:02 UTC	$679	73.81%	16
7 Nov, 18:02 UTC	$679	73.78%	16
7 Nov, 12:02 UTC	$679	73.79%	16
7 Nov, 06:02 UTC	$679	73.80%	16
7 Nov, 00:02 UTC	$679	73.80%	16
6 Nov, 18:02 UTC	$679	73.74%	16
6 Nov, 11:41 UTC	$679	73.86%	16
6 Nov, 05:21 UTC	$679	74.19%	16
5 Nov, 22:51 UTC	$679	74.20%	16
5 Nov, 16:41 UTC	$679	74.11%	16
5 Nov, 10:41 UTC	$679	73.81%	16
5 Nov, 04:41 UTC	$679	73.90%	16
4 Nov, 22:41 UTC	$679	73.89%	16
4 Nov, 16:31 UTC	$679	73.90%	16

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedcovert 31.9%sunny 9.8%restricted 12.8%Covert 2.0%classified 10.9%extraordinary 15.7%covert knife 7.9%#ffd700 9.0%best hit $1,212 (1.78x)