Армейское

A case on csgo.net (Battle), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is csgo.net's own item price.

Price
$0.40
Advertised RTP
63.45%
EV $0.25 from 340 items
Observed RTP, 30d
67.13%
2,998 openings, odds method
Variance
10.3×
of price², per opening
Tail share
30.5%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
94.6%
of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
60.02%±31.23319 openings
7 days
60.85%±11.752,387 openings
30 days
67.13%±10.512,998 openings
since tracking started
67.13%±10.512,998 openings
28.0%60.0%92.0%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h31960.02%±31.2−0.2σodds
7d2,38760.85%±11.7−0.6σodds
30d2,99867.13%±10.5+0.5σodds
All2,99867.13%±10.5+0.5σodds
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values340 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 3,001 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
ItemOddsValueEV shareObservedExpectedHot / cold
Negev | Anodized Navy (Factory New)weapon · #4b69ff1 in 200,000$3930.8%00.0—
MP9 | Hot Rod (Factory New)weapon · mil spec1 in 199,999$1910.4%00.0—
Sawed-Off | Copper (Factory New)weapon · mil spec1 in 199,998$1310.3%00.0—
MP9 | Pandora's Box (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec1 in 199,995$1050.2%00.0—
SCAR-20 | Brass (Minimal Wear)weapon · Mil Spec Grade1 in 199,995$1010.2%00.0—
AUG | Copperhead (Field-Tested)weapon · milspec1 in 199,993$89.960.2%00.0—
Five-SeveN | Crimson Blossom (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec1 in 199,992$86.200.2%10.0—
CZ75-Auto | Emerald Quartz (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec1 in 199,990$82.050.2%00.0—
Tec-9 | Terrace (Well-Worn)weapon · Mil Spec Grade1 in 199,989$78.070.2%00.0—
AWP | Snake Camo (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec1 in 199,988$76.220.2%00.0—
UMP-45 | Minotaur's Labyrinth (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec1 in 199,988$75.450.1%00.0—
MAG-7 | Counter Terrace (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec1 in 199,987$74.940.1%00.0—
Galil AR | Aqua Terrace (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec1 in 199,987$74.420.1%00.0—
P2000 | Silver (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec1 in 199,984$69.550.1%00.0—
XM1014 | Frost Borre (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec1 in 199,981$65.750.1%00.0—
FAMAS | Sundown (Minimal Wear)weapon · Mil Spec Grade1 in 199,980$63.910.1%00.0—
MP7 | Teal Blossom (Field-Tested)weapon1 in 199,966$53.940.1%00.0—
UMP-45 | Day Lily (Field-Tested)weapon · milspec1 in 199,951$47.680.1%00.0—
MP9 | Dark Age (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec1 in 199,951$47.440.1%00.0—
Sawed-Off | First Class (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec1 in 199,931$42.410.1%00.0—
P2000 | Chainmail (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec1 in 199,929$42.110.1%00.0—
XM1014 | Red Leather (Field-Tested)weapon · Rare1 in 199,895$36.890.1%00.0—
MP7 | Whiteout (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec1 in 199,887$36.040.1%00.0—
AK-47 | Black Laminate (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec1 in 199,860$33.570.1%00.0—
P250 | Whiteout (Field-Tested)weapon · blue1 in 199,856$33.190.1%00.0—
MAC-10 | Fade (Factory New)weapon · mil spec1 in 199,854$33.080.1%00.0—
M4A4 | Radiation Hazard (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec1 in 199,827$31.280.1%00.0—
MP7 | Full Stop (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff1 in 199,800$29.760.1%00.0—
USP-S | Business Class (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec1 in 199,778$28.760.1%00.0—
Nova | Blaze Orange (Field-Tested)weapon · Mil Spec1 in 199,774$28.560.1%00.0—
Five-SeveN | Nitro (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec1 in 199,770$28.430.1%00.0—
Dual Berettas | Emerald (Factory New)weapon · mil spec1 in 199,698$25.950.1%00.0—
CZ75-Auto | Emerald (Factory New)weapon · mil spec1 in 199,662$24.980.0%00.0—
SSG 08 | Orange Filigree (Minimal Wear)weapon · #4b69ff1 in 199,651$24.730.0%00.0—
MAG-7 | Hazard (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec1 in 199,611$23.840.0%00.0—
PP-Bizon | Modern Hunter (Field-Tested)weapon · Mil Spec Grade1 in 199,543$22.600.0%00.0—
Nova | Modern Hunter (Well-Worn)weapon · mil spec1 in 199,539$22.530.0%00.0—
XM1014 | Blaze Orange (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec1 in 199,485$21.710.0%00.0—
P90 | Baroque Red (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec1 in 199,482$21.670.0%00.0—
Tec-9 | Blue Titanium (Factory New)weapon · Mil Spec1 in 199,460$21.370.0%00.0—
AUG | Anodized Navy (Factory New)weapon · mil spec1 in 199,424$20.920.0%00.0—
G3SG1 | Violet Murano (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec1 in 199,408$20.730.0%00.0—
Desert Eagle | Night Heist (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec1 in 199,273$19.350.0%00.0—
MAC-10 | Amber Fade (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec1 in 199,249$19.140.0%00.0—
P250 | Modern Hunter (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec1 in 199,205$18.780.0%00.0—
M4A4 | Global Offensive (Minimal Wear)weapon · Rare1 in 198,852$16.600.0%00.0—
Tec-9 | Toxic (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec1 in 198,779$16.260.0%00.0—
Negev | Phoenix Stencil (Field-Tested)weapon · Mil Spec Grade1 in 198,774$16.240.0%00.0—
UMP-45 | Blaze (Factory New)weapon · mil spec1 in 198,736$16.070.0%00.0—
MAC-10 | Nuclear Garden (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec1 in 198,629$15.640.0%00.0—
PP-Bizon | Rust Coat (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec1 in 198,608$15.560.0%00.0—
AK-47 | Green Laminate (Minimal Wear)weapon · blue1 in 198,515$15.230.0%00.0—
Galil AR | Blue Titanium (Factory New)weapon · mil spec1 in 198,472$15.080.0%00.0—
Dual Berettas | Anodized Navy (Minimal Wear)weapon · #4b69ff1 in 198,378$14.780.0%00.0—
P250 | Bengal Tiger (Minimal Wear)weapon · Rare1 in 198,303$14.560.0%00.0—
P90 | Tiger Pit (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff1 in 197,799$13.340.0%00.0—
SSG 08 | Threat Detected (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec1 in 197,674$13.090.0%00.0—
Glock-18 | Reactor (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec1 in 197,511$12.800.0%00.0—
MP9 | Setting Sun (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec1 in 197,261$12.390.0%00.0—
SG 553 | Ultraviolet (Field-Tested)weapon · Rare1 in 196,734$11.670.0%00.0—
SSG 08 | Detour (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec1 in 196,468$11.370.0%00.0—
SCAR-20 | Magna Carta (Minimal Wear)weapon · Mil Spec Grade1 in 196,022$10.920.0%00.0—
P2000 | Dispatch (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec1 in 195,961$10.860.0%00.0—
XM1014 | Bone Machine (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec1 in 195,907$10.810.0%00.0—
AUG | Wings (Minimal Wear)weapon · milspec1 in 195,272$10.290.0%00.0—
MP7 | Skulls (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec1 in 194,255$9.630.0%00.0—
Galil AR | Amber Fade (Minimal Wear)weapon · Rare1 in 192,695$8.860.0%00.0—
AUG | Carved Jade (Minimal Wear)weapon · Rare1 in 192,152$8.650.0%00.0—
Tec-9 | Ossified (Minimal Wear)weapon · #4b69ff1 in 191,578$8.440.0%00.0—
FAMAS | Dark Water (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff1 in 190,989$8.240.0%00.0—
SSG 08 | Dark Water (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec1 in 190,932$8.220.0%00.0—
Nova | Quick Sand (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff1 in 190,223$8.010.0%00.0—
XM1014 | VariCamo Blue (Field-Tested)weapon · blue1 in 187,129$7.270.0%00.0—
G3SG1 | New Roots (Field-Tested)weapon · blue1 in 187,076$7.260.0%00.0—
P250 | Black & Tan (Field-Tested)weapon · milspec1 in 186,978$7.240.0%00.0—
USP-S | Stainless (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff1 in 181,788$6.410.0%00.0—
Galil AR | Dusk Ruins (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff1 in 181,678$6.400.0%00.0—
FAMAS | Doomkitty (Field-Tested)weapon · blue1 in 179,153$6.100.0%00.0—
Dual Berettas | Black Limba (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec1 in 172,987$5.530.0%00.0—
M4A1-S | Blood Tiger (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec1 in 172,115$5.460.0%00.0—
Nova | Interlock (Field-Tested)weapon · Mil Spec Grade1 in 171,209$5.390.0%00.0—
CZ75-Auto | Nitro (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff1 in 166,034$5.050.0%00.0—
UMP-45 | Metal Flowers (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec1 in 161,585$4.810.0%00.0—
Nova | Tempest (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec1 in 160,013$4.730.0%00.0—
Galil AR | Shattered (Field-Tested)weapon · Rare1 in 154,918$4.490.0%00.0—
Negev | Infrastructure (Minimal Wear)weapon · #4b69ff1 in 154,534$4.480.0%00.0—
M4A1-S | Briefing (Field-Tested)weapon · blue1 in 148,908$4.250.0%00.0—
P90 | Schematic (Field-Tested)weapon · milspec1 in 147,749$4.210.0%00.0—
USP-S | Blueprint (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec1 in 143,807$4.070.0%00.0—
P2000 | Red FragCam (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec1 in 135,464$3.810.0%00.0—
M4A4 | Faded Zebra (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec1 in 132,699$3.730.0%00.0—
G3SG1 | Demeter (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec1 in 131,005$3.690.0%00.0—
Tec-9 | Cut Out (Well-Worn)weapon · mil spec1 in 125,206$3.540.0%00.0—
UMP-45 | Bone Pile (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff1 in 124,966$3.530.0%00.0—
MAC-10 | Ultraviolet (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec1 in 122,742$3.470.0%00.0—
Tec-9 | Brass (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec1 in 121,707$3.450.0%00.0—
FAMAS | Macabre (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec1 in 120,233$3.410.0%00.0—
MAC-10 | Aloha (Field-Tested)weapon · Mil Spec Grade1 in 118,735$3.380.0%00.0—
Tec-9 | Isaac (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec1 in 118,535$3.370.0%00.0—
P90 | Desert Warfare (Minimal Wear)weapon · Rare1 in 114,923$3.290.0%00.0—
SG 553 | Wave Spray (Field-Tested)weapon · Rare1 in 111,936$3.220.0%00.0—
P250 | Steel Disruption (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec1 in 111,109$3.210.0%00.0—
Tec-9 | Blast From the Past (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff1 in 106,763$3.110.0%00.0—
Dual Berettas | Panther (Field-Tested)weapon · Mil Spec Grade1 in 104,074$3.060.0%00.0—
MAG-7 | Hard Water (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec1 in 101,432$3.010.0%00.0—
Glock-18 | Blue Fissure (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec1 in 99,088$2.960.0%00.0—
CZ75-Auto | Crimson Web (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff1 in 88,694$2.760.0%00.0—
SCAR-20 | Crimson Web (Field-Tested)weapon · Rare1 in 81,616$2.630.0%00.0—
MAG-7 | Memento (Minimal Wear)weapon · Rare1 in 80,932$2.620.0%00.0—
R8 Revolver | Blaze (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec1 in 79,151$2.580.0%00.0—
FAMAS | Hexane (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff1 in 77,608$2.560.0%00.0—
P90 | Glacier Mesh (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff1 in 77,659$2.560.0%00.0—
USP-S | Blood Tiger (Minimal Wear)weapon · Rare1 in 77,792$2.560.0%00.0—
P250 | Hive (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec1 in 76,556$2.540.0%00.0—
USP-S | Purple DDPAT (Field-Tested)weapon · blue1 in 72,810$2.470.0%00.0—
Five-SeveN | Urban Hazard (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec1 in 71,052$2.440.0%00.0—
Five-SeveN | Kami (Field-Tested)weapon · Rare1 in 70,110$2.420.0%00.0—
Five-SeveN | Nightshade (Field-Tested)weapon · Mil Spec Grade1 in 61,649$2.270.0%00.0—
SG 553 | Desert Blossom (Field-Tested)weapon · blue1 in 58,001$2.210.0%00.1—
SSG 08 | Slashed (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec1 in 56,281$2.180.0%00.1—
MP9 | Music Box (Field-Tested)weapon · Rare1 in 55,004$2.150.0%00.1—
M249 | Humidor (Field-Tested)weapon · blue1 in 50,825$2.080.0%00.1—
Nova | Ghost Camo (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec1 in 49,969$2.060.0%00.1—
Negev | Bratatat (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec1 in 47,683$2.020.0%00.1—
SSG 08 | Spring Twilly (Minimal Wear)weapon · blue1 in 46,627$2.000.0%00.1—
XM1014 | Red Python (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec1 in 44,779$1.970.0%00.1—
CZ75-Auto | Poison Dart (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff1 in 44,990$1.970.0%00.1—
AK-47 | Crossfade (Field-Tested)weapon · blue1 in 35,263$1.780.0%00.1—
AK-47 | Elite Build (Field-Tested)weapon · Rare1 in 34,054$1.750.0%20.1—
G3SG1 | Azure Zebra (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec1 in 30,016$1.670.0%10.1—
AUG | Amber Fade (Minimal Wear)weapon · Rare1 in 29,777$1.660.0%00.1—
Galil AR | Sandstorm (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec1 in 28,972$1.650.0%00.1—
UMP-45 | Full Stop (Field-Tested)weapon · blue1 in 24,494$1.540.0%10.1—
PP-Bizon | Water Sigil (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec1 in 22,528$1.490.0%00.1—
Galil AR | Kami (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec1 in 21,958$1.480.0%10.1—
Tec-9 | Safety Net (Field-Tested)weapon · milspec1 in 22,084$1.480.0%00.1—
CZ75-Auto | Hexane (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec1 in 21,298$1.460.0%00.1—
SG 553 | Berry Gel Coat (Minimal Wear)weapon · Rare1 in 20,043$1.430.0%00.1—
XM1014 | Watchdog (Field-Tested)weapon · blue1 in 18,982$1.400.0%00.2—
Desert Eagle | Sputnik (Field-Tested)weapon · blue1 in 18,436$1.390.0%00.2—
M4A1-S | Fizzy POP (Field-Tested)weapon · Mil Spec Grade1 in 17,971$1.370.0%00.2—
P250 | Contaminant (Minimal Wear)weapon · Rare1 in 10,412$1.130.0%00.3—
Galil AR | Rocket Pop (Field-Tested)weapon · milspec1 in 8,971$1.070.0%00.3—
M249 | Magma (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec1 in 9,056$1.070.0%00.3—
P90 | Module (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec1 in 8,788$1.060.0%10.3—
Dual Berettas | Balance (Well-Worn)weapon · mil spec1 in 8,340$1.040.0%10.4—
Glock-18 | Candy Apple (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec1 in 7,893$1.020.1%00.4—
USP-S | Lead Conduit (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff1 in 6,678$0.970.1%00.4—
R8 Revolver | Memento (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec1 in 5,993$0.930.1%00.5—
PP-Bizon | Photic Zone (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec1 in 5,425$0.900.1%10.6—
AWP | Capillary (Minimal Wear)weapon · Rare1 in 5,303$0.890.1%10.6—
Desert Eagle | Meteorite (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec1 in 5,049$0.880.1%10.6—
P90 | Cocoa Rampage (Minimal Wear)weapon · Rare1 in 5,113$0.880.1%00.6—
M249 | Deep Relief (Field-Tested)weapon · 11 in 4,629$0.850.1%00.6—
AWP | Acheron (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff1 in 4,530$0.840.1%00.7—
USP-S | Black Lotus (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec1 in 4,156$0.820.1%00.7—
CZ75-Auto | Twist (Field-Tested)weapon · Rare1 in 3,938$0.810.1%10.8—
SCAR-20 | Wild Berry (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff1 in 3,917$0.800.1%00.8—
PP-Bizon | Cobalt Halftone (Field-Tested)weapon · 11 in 3,775$0.790.1%20.8—
Glock-18 | Catacombs (Field-Tested)weapon · Rare1 in 3,523$0.770.1%00.9—
Dual Berettas | Tread (Field-Tested)weapon · Mil Spec1 in 3,348$0.760.1%10.9—
P2000 | Pulse (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec1 in 3,120$0.740.1%11.0—
M4A4 | Converter (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec1 in 2,801$0.720.1%11.10.93×
MAC-10 | Lapis Gator (Field-Tested)weapon · milspec1 in 2,870$0.720.1%11.00.96×
MP5-SD | Acid Wash (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec1 in 2,709$0.710.1%21.11.81×
G3SG1 | Digital Mesh (Field-Tested)weapon · 11 in 2,734$0.710.1%11.10.91×
MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec1 in 2,740$0.710.1%11.10.91×
Glock-18 | Bunsen Burner (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec1 in 2,579$0.700.1%01.20.00×
Galil AR | Tuxedo (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec1 in 2,485$0.690.1%01.20.00×
PP-Bizon | Lumen (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff1 in 2,183$0.660.1%01.40.00×
MP7 | Anodized Navy (Factory New)weapon · blue1 in 2,186$0.660.1%11.40.73×
XM1014 | Halftone Shift (Field-Tested)weapon · blue1 in 2,190$0.660.1%01.40.00×
MP7 | Cirrus (Field-Tested)weapon · Rare1 in 2,229$0.660.1%21.31.49×
AUG | Plague (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff1 in 2,115$0.650.1%11.40.70×
Galil AR | Vandal (Well-Worn)weapon · #4b69ff1 in 2,137$0.650.1%21.41.42×
AK-47 | Uncharted (Field-Tested)weapon · Rare1 in 1,891$0.630.1%11.60.63×
G3SG1 | Keeping Tabs (Field-Tested)weapon · Mil Spec1 in 1,962$0.630.1%21.51.31×
Dual Berettas | Cartel (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff1 in 1,827$0.620.1%11.60.61×
USP-S | Torque (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec1 in 1,782$0.610.1%11.70.59×
M249 | Warbird (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec1 in 1,563$0.590.1%41.92.08×
UMP-45 | Delusion (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec1 in 1,622$0.590.1%11.90.54×
Nova | Plume (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec1 in 1,468$0.570.2%22.00.98×
M249 | System Lock (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec1 in 1,472$0.570.2%52.02.45×
SSG 08 | Acid Fade (Factory New)weapon · mil spec1 in 1,402$0.560.2%52.12.34×
G3SG1 | Black Sand (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec1 in 1,267$0.550.2%02.40.00×
P90 | Traction (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec1 in 1,329$0.550.2%62.32.66×
MP9 | Deadly Poison (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec1 in 1,256$0.540.2%12.40.42×
MP9 | Dart (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec1 in 1,174$0.530.2%32.61.17×
Nova | Ranger (Field-Tested)weapon · blue1 in 1,180$0.530.2%12.50.39×
Five-SeveN | Violent Daimyo (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec1 in 1,182$0.530.2%12.50.39×
G3SG1 | Murky (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec1 in 1,124$0.520.2%12.70.37×
MP7 | Guerrilla (Well-Worn)weapon · blue1 in 1,130$0.520.2%22.70.75×
CZ75-Auto | Vendetta (Well-Worn)weapon · milspec1 in 1,070$0.510.2%22.80.71×
SCAR-20 | Torn (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec1 in 983$0.500.2%53.11.64×
XM1014 | Quicksilver (Minimal Wear)weapon · Rare1 in 978$0.500.2%13.10.33×
SCAR-20 | Grotto (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec1 in 895$0.480.2%13.40.30×
Desert Eagle | Oxide Blaze (Minimal Wear)weapon · Rare1 in 897$0.480.2%13.30.30×
P90 | Elite Build (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff1 in 856$0.480.2%13.50.29×
Nova | Exo (Minimal Wear)weapon · milspec1 in 849$0.470.2%83.52.26×
MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Minimal Wear)weapon · milspec1 in 839$0.470.2%63.61.68×
UMP-45 | Riot (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff1 in 798$0.470.2%03.80.00×
P2000 | Turf (Well-Worn)weapon · mil spec1 in 745$0.450.2%24.00.50×
M249 | Spectre (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec1 in 729$0.450.2%14.10.24×
Tec-9 | Ice Cap (Minimal Wear)weapon · Rare1 in 715$0.450.2%24.20.48×
MAC-10 | Carnivore (Minimal Wear)weapon · milspec1 in 686$0.440.3%44.40.91×
MP5-SD | Condition Zero (Well-Worn)weapon · 11 in 647$0.430.3%64.61.29×
Tec-9 | Jambiya (Well-Worn)weapon · milspec1 in 626$0.430.3%84.81.67×
UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear)weapon · Rare1 in 618$0.430.3%34.90.62×
MAG-7 | Sonar (Field-Tested)weapon · blue1 in 577$0.420.3%75.21.35×
SSG 08 | Abyss (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec1 in 563$0.410.3%25.30.38×
PP-Bizon | Jungle Slipstream (Minimal Wear)weapon · blue1 in 558$0.410.3%55.40.93×
Glock-18 | Ironwork (Well-Worn)weapon · Mil Spec Grade1 in 538$0.410.3%75.61.26×
Tec-9 | Sandstorm (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec1 in 541$0.410.3%45.50.72×
USP-S | Check Engine (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec1 in 516$0.400.3%35.80.52×
Desert Eagle | Corinthian (Field-Tested)weapon · blue1 in 505$0.400.3%105.91.68×
CZ75-Auto | Polymer (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff1 in 505$0.400.3%65.91.01×
P2000 | Imperial (Minimal Wear)weapon · blue1 in 501$0.400.3%96.01.50×
FAMAS | Snake Song (Field-Tested)weapon · milspec1 in 502$0.400.3%166.02.68×
SSG 08 | Necropos (Well-Worn)weapon · milspec1 in 502$0.400.3%56.00.84×
SG 553 | Aerial (Field-Tested)weapon · blue1 in 484$0.390.3%76.21.13×
P250 | Ripple (Minimal Wear)weapon · Rare1 in 474$0.390.3%56.30.79×
P2000 | Oceanic (Minimal Wear)weapon · Rare1 in 469$0.390.3%26.40.31×
PP-Bizon | Harvester (Minimal Wear)weapon · milspec1 in 470$0.390.3%66.40.94×
MP9 | Sand Scale (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec1 in 463$0.390.3%46.50.62×
Dual Berettas | Elite 1.6 (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec1 in 457$0.380.3%86.61.22×
Glock-18 | Wraiths (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff1 in 448$0.380.3%86.71.19×
R8 Revolver | Survivalist (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec1 in 436$0.380.3%36.90.44×
G3SG1 | Ventilator (Minimal Wear)weapon · milspec1 in 438$0.380.3%106.81.46×
AUG | Ricochet (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec1 in 431$0.380.3%37.00.43×
Glock-18 | Clear Polymer (Field-Tested)weapon · Rare1 in 426$0.370.3%57.00.71×
P250 | Iron Clad (Field-Tested)weapon · 11 in 427$0.370.3%07.00.00×
MAC-10 | Arabesque Mosaic (Field-Tested)weapon · milspec1 in 421$0.370.3%87.11.12×
FAMAS | Decommissioned (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec1 in 399$0.360.4%37.50.40×
Desert Eagle | Blue Ply (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff1 in 399$0.360.4%57.50.66×
G3SG1 | Orange Crash (Minimal Wear)weapon · Rare1 in 395$0.360.4%37.60.40×
Sawed-Off | Zander (Field-Tested)weapon · Rare1 in 396$0.360.4%47.60.53×
Negev | Terrain (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec1 in 393$0.360.4%17.60.13×
Glock-18 | Sacrifice (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec1 in 385$0.360.4%57.80.64×
Five-SeveN | Capillary (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff1 in 370$0.360.4%58.10.62×
Tec-9 | Flash Out (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec1 in 372$0.360.4%38.10.37×
MP9 | Capillary (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec1 in 372$0.360.4%108.11.24×
MP9 | Bioleak (Minimal Wear)weapon · Rare1 in 360$0.350.4%58.30.60×
Dual Berettas | Shred (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec1 in 355$0.350.4%68.50.71×
SCAR-20 | Outbreak (Minimal Wear)weapon · Mil Spec Grade1 in 351$0.350.4%108.51.17×
MP7 | Akoben (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec1 in 351$0.350.4%28.50.23×
AUG | Signal Scanner (Field-Tested)weapon · Rare1 in 344$0.350.4%128.71.38×
MAG-7 | Cobalt Core (Field-Tested)weapon · Mil Spec Grade1 in 346$0.350.4%158.71.73×
AUG | Amber Slipstream (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec1 in 343$0.350.4%28.70.23×
Galil AR | Black Sand (Well-Worn)weapon · milspec1 in 340$0.340.4%58.80.57×
SCAR-20 | Assault (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec1 in 325$0.340.4%09.20.00×
R8 Revolver | Tango (Field-Tested)weapon · blue1 in 316$0.340.4%179.51.79×
SG 553 | Heavy Metal (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff1 in 316$0.340.4%79.50.74×
AUG | Tom Cat (Field-Tested)weapon · Mil Spec Grade1 in 303$0.330.4%129.91.21×
M4A4 | Dark Operative (Field-Tested)weapon · blue1 in 299$0.330.4%1010.01.00×
Desert Eagle | Urban Rubble (Minimal Wear)weapon · Rare1 in 300$0.330.4%1410.01.40×
MP7 | Urban Hazard (Minimal Wear)weapon · Rare1 in 293$0.330.4%610.20.59×
P2000 | Ivory (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec1 in 290$0.330.4%710.30.68×
SCAR-20 | Blueprint (Field-Tested)weapon · milspec1 in 286$0.320.4%710.50.67×
MP7 | Mischief (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec1 in 283$0.320.4%1110.61.04×
R8 Revolver | Crimson Web (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec1 in 275$0.320.5%810.90.73×
Desert Eagle | Bronze Deco (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec1 in 272$0.320.5%1011.00.91×
FAMAS | Survivor Z (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec1 in 274$0.320.5%1311.01.19×
SG 553 | Atlas (Field-Tested)weapon · milspec1 in 269$0.320.5%511.10.45×
AUG | Luxe Trim (Field-Tested)weapon · milspec1 in 271$0.320.5%1711.11.54×
Dual Berettas | Ventilators (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec1 in 266$0.320.5%1211.31.06×
Sawed-Off | Yorick (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec1 in 266$0.320.5%1311.31.15×
MP9 | Spy Prototype (Field-Tested)weapon · Rare1 in 260$0.310.5%811.50.69×
UMP-45 | Labyrinth (Minimal Wear)weapon · 11 in 251$0.310.5%1011.90.84×
R8 Revolver | Junk Yard (Field-Tested)weapon · blue1 in 245$0.310.5%512.20.41×
G3SG1 | Hunter (Field-Tested)weapon · blue1 in 242$0.310.5%612.40.48×
Dual Berettas | Dualing Dragons (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec1 in 243$0.310.5%1312.31.05×
M4A1-S | VariCamo (Field-Tested)weapon · Rare1 in 238$0.300.5%2212.61.74×
Desert Eagle | Calligraffiti (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff1 in 237$0.300.5%1312.71.03×
MAG-7 | Popdog (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec1 in 237$0.300.5%312.70.24×
SG 553 | Anodized Navy (Factory New)weapon · Rare1 in 229$0.300.5%1113.10.84×
Glock-18 | Warhawk (Well-Worn)weapon · mil spec1 in 229$0.300.5%1313.10.99×
MAC-10 | Whitefish (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec1 in 231$0.300.5%1113.00.85×
M249 | Hypnosis (Field-Tested)weapon · milspec1 in 225$0.300.5%1313.30.97×
Negev | Dazzle (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff1 in 225$0.300.5%1013.30.75×
P250 | Valence (Field-Tested)weapon · blue1 in 224$0.300.5%1413.41.05×
MAC-10 | Oceanic (Minimal Wear)weapon · blue1 in 222$0.300.5%2713.52.00×
Negev | Desert-Strike (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec1 in 210$0.290.5%014.30.00×
MAC-10 | Rangeen (Minimal Wear)weapon · milspec1 in 202$0.290.6%1314.80.88×
SCAR-20 | Trail Blazer (Field-Tested)weapon · milspec1 in 199$0.280.6%715.10.46×
XM1014 | Slipstream (Field-Tested)weapon · milspec1 in 190$0.280.6%615.80.38×
Nova | Windblown (Minimal Wear)weapon · Mil Spec1 in 183$0.280.6%516.40.31×
P250 | Verdigris (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec1 in 181$0.280.6%1416.60.84×
CZ75-Auto | Distressed (Minimal Wear)weapon · #4b69ff1 in 179$0.270.6%716.80.42×
MP9 | Modest Threat (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec1 in 170$0.270.6%817.60.45×
MAC-10 | Pipsqueak (Field-Tested)weapon · Rare1 in 171$0.270.6%2617.51.48×
USP-S | Alpine Camo (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff1 in 164$0.270.6%1218.30.65×
MP7 | Armor Core (Field-Tested)weapon · milspec1 in 162$0.260.6%1418.50.76×
Negev | Prototype (Minimal Wear)weapon · blue1 in 158$0.260.7%2119.01.11×
Sawed-Off | Lunar Wyrm (Well-Worn)weapon · blue1 in 159$0.260.6%618.80.32×
Glock-18 | Oxide Blaze (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec1 in 157$0.260.7%819.10.42×
Glock-18 | Off World (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff1 in 152$0.260.7%1019.80.51×
R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Minimal Wear)weapon · blue1 in 151$0.260.7%2219.91.11×
UMP-45 | Oscillator (Field-Tested)weapon · Mil Spec Grade1 in 144$0.250.7%120.80.05×
Tec-9 | Snek-9 (Well-Worn)weapon · mil spec1 in 144$0.250.7%1120.80.53×
Sawed-Off | Black Sand (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec1 in 143$0.250.7%421.00.19×
FAMAS | Crypsis (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec1 in 142$0.250.7%1421.20.66×
Sawed-Off | Origami (Minimal Wear)weapon · Rare1 in 140$0.250.7%2121.50.98×
SCAR-20 | Jungle Slipstream (Field-Tested)weapon · milspec1 in 138$0.250.7%1921.70.88×
UMP-45 | Briefing (Well-Worn)weapon · milspec1 in 136$0.250.7%2222.01.00×
Tec-9 | Cracked Opal (Field-Tested)weapon · milspec1 in 137$0.250.7%721.90.32×
Tec-9 | Fubar (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec1 in 137$0.250.7%1921.90.87×
Galil AR | Akoben (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec1 in 137$0.250.7%2321.91.05×
P90 | Off World (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec1 in 134$0.250.7%2022.40.89×
M249 | O.S.I.P.R. (Field-Tested)weapon · blue1 in 131$0.240.7%2122.90.92×
Nova | Wood Fired (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec1 in 131$0.240.7%2422.91.05×
SG 553 | Danger Close (Field-Tested)weapon · milspec1 in 128$0.240.7%623.40.26×
CZ75-Auto | Circaetus (Field-Tested)weapon · Rare1 in 129$0.240.7%923.30.39×
R8 Revolver | Grip (Minimal Wear)weapon · Rare1 in 123$0.240.8%324.40.12×
SG 553 | Aloha (Minimal Wear)weapon · #4b69ff1 in 123$0.240.8%4224.41.72×
P250 | Small Game (Field-Tested)weapon · 11 in 119$0.230.8%825.20.32×
Nova | Yorkshire (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff1 in 114$0.230.8%3026.41.14×
CZ75-Auto | Imprint (Well-Worn)weapon · Mil Spec Grade1 in 114$0.230.8%1826.40.68×
SSG 08 | Zeno (Field-Tested)weapon · Rare1 in 98$0.220.9%3630.71.17×
CZ75-Auto | Tuxedo (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff1 in 88$0.210.9%2634.20.76×
Negev | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear)weapon · #4b69ff1 in 87$0.210.9%2734.50.78×
Five-SeveN | Scumbria (Well-Worn)weapon · #4b69ff1 in 84$0.211.0%1835.70.50×
SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Field-Tested)weapon · milspec1 in 83$0.201.0%4036.11.11×
Nova | Wurst Hölle (Field-Tested)weapon · milspec1 in 81$0.201.0%4936.91.33×
M4A4 | Magnesium (Well-Worn)weapon · mil spec1 in 80$0.201.0%4237.71.11×
PP-Bizon | Night Riot (Minimal Wear)weapon · 11 in 75$0.201.0%4140.21.02×
XM1014 | Scumbria (Well-Worn)weapon · milspec1 in 71$0.191.1%5842.21.38×
XM1014 | Oxide Blaze (Minimal Wear)weapon · milspec1 in 67$0.191.1%5245.11.15×
AUG | Triqua (Well-Worn)weapon · #4b69ff1 in 59$0.181.2%2550.60.49×
Sawed-Off | Morris (Well-Worn)weapon · milspec1 in 56$0.171.2%2353.20.43×
Five-SeveN | Flame Test (Minimal Wear)weapon · milspec1 in 54$0.171.3%5255.50.94×
MP5-SD | Statics (Well-Worn)weapon · #4b69ff1 in 53$0.171.3%1457.00.25×
USP-S | Night Ops (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec1 in 51$0.171.3%4658.30.79×
P90 | Teardown (Field-Tested)weapon · Rare1 in 38$0.151.5%2379.60.29×
Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff1 in 35$0.141.6%6686.10.77×
Galil AR | Metallic Squeezer (Field-Tested)weapon · milspec1 in 33$0.141.6%7590.90.83×
P90 | Facility Negative (Field-Tested)weapon · milspec1 in 29$0.131.7%92102.00.90×
Sawed-Off | Amber Fade (Field-Tested)weapon · milspec1 in 27$0.131.8%85110.80.77×
P250 | Exchanger (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff1 in 26$0.121.8%8114.50.07×
FAMAS | Teardown (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff1 in 24$0.121.9%121123.60.98×
MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Field-Tested)weapon · blue1 in 24$0.121.9%90123.40.73×
Values are csgo.net's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from csgo-net:pf_case_ranges, 11 Nov, 08:54 UTC.

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 63.45%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
11 Nov, 08:54 UTC$0.4063.45%340
11 Nov, 02:44 UTC$0.4063.33%340
10 Nov, 20:44 UTC$0.4063.30%342
10 Nov, 14:44 UTC$0.4063.57%341
10 Nov, 08:34 UTC$0.4063.82%339
10 Nov, 02:24 UTC$0.4063.84%338
9 Nov, 20:24 UTC$0.4063.82%339
9 Nov, 14:24 UTC$0.4063.87%340
9 Nov, 08:24 UTC$0.4063.91%339
9 Nov, 02:14 UTC$0.4064.29%339
9 Nov, 01:55 UTC$0.4064.27%338
9 Nov, 00:05 UTC$0.4064.27%338
8 Nov, 18:22 UTC$0.4064.28%339
8 Nov, 12:22 UTC$0.4064.27%340
8 Nov, 06:22 UTC$0.4064.30%339
8 Nov, 00:02 UTC$0.4064.28%339
7 Nov, 18:02 UTC$0.4064.27%339
7 Nov, 12:02 UTC$0.4064.27%340
7 Nov, 06:02 UTC$0.4064.28%338
7 Nov, 00:02 UTC$0.4064.28%338
6 Nov, 18:02 UTC$0.4064.23%338
6 Nov, 11:41 UTC$0.4064.31%338
6 Nov, 05:21 UTC$0.4064.63%338
5 Nov, 22:51 UTC$0.4064.63%338
5 Nov, 16:41 UTC$0.4064.54%339
5 Nov, 10:41 UTC$0.4064.30%338
5 Nov, 04:41 UTC$0.4064.38%338
4 Nov, 22:41 UTC$0.4064.37%339
4 Nov, 16:31 UTC$0.4064.36%339
4 Nov, 14:19 UTC$0.4064.33%339
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed1 3.1%#4b69ff 24.0%mil spec 20.5%Mil Spec Grade 2.7%milspec 27.8%other 0.0%Rare 11.0%blue 10.4%Mil Spec 0.6%best hit $75.29 (188.2x)