Фиолетовая коллекция
A case on csgo.net, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is csgo.net's own item price.
Price
$1.39
Advertised RTP
62.29%
EV $0.87 from 37 items
Observed RTP, 30d
61.78%
1,804 openings, odds method
Variance
0.6×
of price², per opening
Tail share
25.8%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
92.9%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values37 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,807 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are csgo.net's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
csgo-net:pf_case_ranges, 11 Nov, 08:54 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 62.29%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov, 08:54 UTC | $1.39 | 62.29% | 37 |
| 11 Nov, 02:44 UTC | $1.39 | 62.22% | 37 |
| 10 Nov, 20:44 UTC | $1.39 | 62.21% | 37 |
| 10 Nov, 14:44 UTC | $1.39 | 62.41% | 36 |
| 10 Nov, 08:34 UTC | $1.39 | 62.73% | 35 |
| 10 Nov, 02:24 UTC | $1.39 | 62.71% | 36 |
| 9 Nov, 20:24 UTC | $1.39 | 62.74% | 36 |
| 9 Nov, 14:24 UTC | $1.39 | 62.76% | 36 |
| 9 Nov, 08:24 UTC | $1.39 | 62.76% | 38 |
| 9 Nov, 02:14 UTC | $1.39 | 63.09% | 38 |
| 9 Nov, 01:55 UTC | $1.39 | 63.14% | 38 |
| 9 Nov, 00:05 UTC | $1.39 | 63.11% | 38 |
| 8 Nov, 18:22 UTC | $1.39 | 63.08% | 36 |
| 8 Nov, 12:22 UTC | $1.39 | 63.08% | 36 |
| 8 Nov, 06:22 UTC | $1.39 | 63.14% | 35 |
| 8 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $1.39 | 63.08% | 35 |
| 7 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $1.39 | 62.92% | 34 |
| 7 Nov, 12:02 UTC | $1.39 | 63.02% | 36 |
| 7 Nov, 06:02 UTC | $1.39 | 63.15% | 36 |
| 7 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $1.39 | 63.10% | 34 |
| 6 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $1.39 | 63.10% | 34 |
| 6 Nov, 11:41 UTC | $1.39 | 63.26% | 34 |
| 6 Nov, 05:21 UTC | $1.39 | 63.36% | 34 |
| 5 Nov, 22:51 UTC | $1.39 | 63.52% | 33 |
| 5 Nov, 16:41 UTC | $1.39 | 63.27% | 34 |
| 5 Nov, 10:41 UTC | $1.39 | 63.06% | 34 |
| 5 Nov, 04:41 UTC | $1.39 | 63.12% | 33 |
| 4 Nov, 22:41 UTC | $1.39 | 63.07% | 33 |
| 4 Nov, 16:31 UTC | $1.39 | 63.21% | 33 |
| 4 Nov, 14:19 UTC | $1.39 | 63.25% | 34 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedviolet 8.6%classified 0.1%covert 0.0%Ancient 0.0%restricted 9.7%Legendary 2.2%#d32ee6 0.2%pink 3.2%mil spec 10.5%#8847ff 36.7%Mythical 9.9%Restricted 9.7%milspec 9.1%best hit —