Суперскорость

A case on csgo.net (Battle), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is csgo.net's own item price.

Price
$109.00
Advertised RTP
72.62%
EV $79.15 from 31 items
Observed RTP, 30d
77.43%
317 openings, odds method
Variance
0.4×
of price², per opening
Tail share
31.5%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
85.3%
of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
25 openings · below min
7 days
75.51%±9.49147 openings
30 days
77.43%±6.41317 openings
since tracking started
77.43%±6.41317 openings
42.5%66.8%91.0%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h2566.66%±23.6—odds
7d14775.51%±9.49+0.4σodds
30d31777.43%±6.41+1.2σodds
All31777.43%±6.41+1.2σodds
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values31 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 318 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
ItemOddsValueEV shareObservedExpectedHot / cold
AWP | Medusa (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert1 in 9,666$2,9700.4%00.0—
AWP | The Prince (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert1 in 9,222$2,2040.3%00.0—
★ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New)knife · gold1 in 8,178$1,5940.2%00.0—
M4A1-S | Hot Rod (Factory New)weapon · classified1 in 6,280$1,1490.2%00.1—
M4A4 | Poseidon (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified1 in 5,796$1,0740.2%00.1—
★ Karambit | Slaughter (Field-Tested)knife · covert1 in 4,003$8420.3%00.1—
★ Driver Gloves | Lunar Weave (Minimal Wear)gloves · extraordinary1 in 3,761$8140.3%00.1—
★ Talon Knife | Doppler (Factory New)knife · sunny1 in 3,501$7840.3%00.1—
★ Sport Gloves | Superconductor (Battle-Scarred)gloves · extraordinary1 in 3,013$7270.3%10.1—
M4A1-S | Blue Phosphor (Factory New)weapon · classified1 in 1,109$4780.5%00.3—
M4A1-S | Icarus Fell (Factory New)weapon · restricted1 in 810$4240.7%20.4—
★ Sport Gloves | Slingshot (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinary1 in 243$2731.4%21.31.53×
★ Skeleton Knife | Crimson Web (Field-Tested)knife · covert1 in 192$2501.7%21.71.20×
AK-47 | Case Hardened (Field-Tested)weapon · classified1 in 112$2052.3%02.80.00×
Glock-18 | Twilight Galaxy (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified1 in 101$1972.5%43.11.27×
SSG 08 | Death Strike (Field-Tested)weapon · classified1 in 92$1902.6%03.40.00×
★ Hand Wraps | Cobalt Skulls (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinary1 in 77$1772.9%44.10.97×
★ Sport Gloves | Scarlet Shamagh (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinary1 in 58$1593.4%75.51.28×
AK-47 | Vulcan (Field-Tested)weapon · covert1 in 56$1563.5%25.60.35×
★ Bayonet | Night (Field-Tested)knife · covert1 in 40$1354.3%97.91.13×
AWP | Graphite (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified1 in 32$1224.9%1310.11.29×
M4A1-S | Master Piece (Field-Tested)weapon · classified1 in 21$99.466.0%115.20.07×
SSG 08 | Blood in the Water (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert1 in 18$91.776.4%2517.61.42×
★ Huntsman Knife | Autotronic (Field-Tested)knife · gold1 in 16$84.156.8%1620.30.79×
Five-SeveN | Berries And Cherries (Factory New)weapon · restricted1 in 13$74.767.2%2024.20.83×
FAMAS | Prime Conspiracy (Minimal Wear)weapon · #8847ff1 in 13$73.957.2%624.60.24×
Glock-18 | Dragon Tattoo (Factory New)weapon · restricted1 in 13$72.837.3%2125.10.84×
Desert Eagle | Cobalt Disruption (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified1 in 12$67.617.4%3327.51.20×
★ Broken Fang Gloves | Needle Point (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinary12.1%$42.636.5%3438.40.89×
AK-47 | Neon Rider (Field-Tested)weapon · covert12.2%$39.836.2%5239.01.34×
Glock-18 | Neo-Noir (Field-Tested)weapon · Ancient12.3%$37.555.9%039.20.00×
Values are csgo.net's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from csgo-net:pf_case_ranges, 11 Nov, 08:54 UTC.

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 72.62%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
11 Nov, 08:54 UTC$10972.62%31
11 Nov, 02:44 UTC$10972.45%31
10 Nov, 20:44 UTC$10972.44%30
10 Nov, 14:44 UTC$10972.72%31
10 Nov, 08:34 UTC$10973.03%30
10 Nov, 02:24 UTC$10973.04%31
9 Nov, 20:24 UTC$10973.03%30
9 Nov, 14:24 UTC$10973.09%30
9 Nov, 08:24 UTC$10973.15%30
9 Nov, 02:14 UTC$10973.56%30
9 Nov, 01:55 UTC$10973.53%30
9 Nov, 00:05 UTC$10973.52%30
8 Nov, 18:22 UTC$10973.55%30
8 Nov, 12:22 UTC$10973.55%30
8 Nov, 06:22 UTC$10973.55%31
8 Nov, 00:02 UTC$10973.56%30
7 Nov, 18:02 UTC$10973.53%30
7 Nov, 12:02 UTC$10973.54%30
7 Nov, 06:02 UTC$10973.55%30
7 Nov, 00:02 UTC$10973.55%30
6 Nov, 18:02 UTC$10973.49%31
6 Nov, 11:41 UTC$10973.60%30
6 Nov, 05:21 UTC$10973.94%30
5 Nov, 22:51 UTC$10973.95%30
5 Nov, 16:41 UTC$10973.86%30
5 Nov, 10:41 UTC$10973.56%30
5 Nov, 04:41 UTC$10973.65%30
4 Nov, 22:41 UTC$10973.64%30
4 Nov, 16:31 UTC$10973.65%30
4 Nov, 14:19 UTC$10973.62%30
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedcovert 22.6%gold 6.4%classified 19.7%extraordinary 15.5%sunny 0.0%restricted 15.6%#8847ff 7.7%Ancient 12.3%best hit $759 (6.97x)