Drew Budget
A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page.
Price
$112.00
112 CSGOBIG_COIN
Advertised RTP
85.00%
EV $95.20 from 22 items
Observed RTP, 30d
18.95%
4 openings, odds method
Variance
17.2×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 43
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
82.6%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 4 openings and 0.1 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values22 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 4 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=10005, 11 Nov, 06:29 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Souvenir Sawed-Off | Full Stop (Field-Tested)Souvenir · weapon · #4B69FF$112112 CSGOBIG_COIN$34.6934.69 CSGOBIG_COIN0.31x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 85.00%
No data in this window
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $112 | 85.00% | 22 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedremarkable 0.1%covert 37.2%restricted 8.5%Covert 0.8%Restricted 3.0%Industrial Grade 2.0%#4B69FF 3.4%industrial 22.5%blue 22.5%best hit —