Price
$150.00
150 CSGOBIG_COIN
Advertised RTP
90.06%
EV $135.09 from 15 items
Observed RTP, 30d
81.72%
2 openings, odds method
Variance
1.2×
of price², per opening
Tail share
24.3%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
75.7%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 2 openings and 0.5 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values15 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 2 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=1027, 11 Nov, 06:29 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
★ Stiletto Knife | Stained (Field-Tested)knife · covert$150150 CSGOBIG_COIN$230230 CSGOBIG_COIN1.53x
StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Dezastre (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · #8847FF$150150 CSGOBIG_COIN$15.4815.48 CSGOBIG_COIN0.10x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.06%
No data in this window
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $150 | 90.06% | 15 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 15.2%#ffd700 8.9%sunny 0.3%classified 33.9%Exotic 14.7%red 7.1%restricted 5.9%#8847FF 8.6%industrial 5.5%best hit —