Vertigo

A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page.

Price

$0.57

0.57 CSGOBIG_COIN

Advertised RTP

90.00%

EV $0.51 from 11 items

Observed RTP, 30d

133.04%

53 openings, odds method

Variance

948.2×

of price², per opening

Tail share

1 in 99

of openings carry half the EV

Below price

90.0%

of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample

24 hours

16 openings · below min

7 days

53 openings · below min

30 days

53 openings · below min

since tracking started

53 openings · below min

-0.5%847.8%1696.0%

Small sample. 53 openings and 0.5 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

Window	Openings	Observed	Dev.	Method
24h	16	186.40%±1508.8	—	odds
7d	53	133.04%±829.0	—	odds
30d	53	133.04%±829.0	—	odds
All	53	133.04%±829.0	—	odds

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values11 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 53 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

Item	Odds	Value	EV share	Observed	Expected	Hot / cold
AWP \| Medusa (Battle-Scarred)weapon · covert	1 in 10,000	$1,746 1,746 CSGOBIG_COIN	34.0%	0	0.0	—
AWP \| Neo-Noir (Field-Tested)weapon · covert	1 in 100	$16.85 16.85 CSGOBIG_COIN	32.8%	2	0.5	—
MAC-10 \| Neon Rider (Field-Tested)weapon · covert	1 in 100	$6.27 6.27 CSGOBIG_COIN	12.2%	0	0.5	—
M4A1-S \| Leaded Glass (Battle-Scarred)weapon · classified	1 in 100	$3.47 3.47 CSGOBIG_COIN	6.8%	1	0.5	—
Glock-18 \| Vogue (Battle-Scarred)weapon · #d32ee6	1 in 100	$1.50 1.5 CSGOBIG_COIN	2.9%	0	0.5	—
M4A4 \| Evil Daimyo (Field-Tested)weapon · Mythical	1 in 100	$1.15 1.15 CSGOBIG_COIN	2.2%	1	0.5	—
Desert Eagle \| Naga (Well-Worn)weapon · #8847ff	1 in 100	$1.00 1 CSGOBIG_COIN	1.9%	0	0.5	—
Sticker \| Work For Ammosticker · Rare	1 in 100	$0.80 0.8 CSGOBIG_COIN	1.6%	1	0.5	—
Tec-9 \| Avalanche (Battle-Scarred)weapon · restricted	1 in 100	$0.70 0.7 CSGOBIG_COIN	1.4%	0	0.5	—
P2000 \| Red FragCam (Battle-Scarred)weapon · mil spec	1 in 50	$0.60 0.6 CSGOBIG_COIN	2.3%	1	1.1	0.94×
PP-Bizon Sand Dashed (Battle-Scarred)other · #B0C3D9	90.0%	$0.01 0.01 CSGOBIG_COIN	1.8%	47	47.7	0.99×

Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=1031, 11 Nov, 06:29 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Latest dropsnewest first

All →

PP-Bizon Sand Dashed (Battle-Scarred)other · #B0C3D9$0.570.57 CSGOBIG_COIN$0.010.01 CSGOBIG_COIN0.02x5h

PP-Bizon Sand Dashed (Battle-Scarred)other · #B0C3D9brede$0.570.57 CSGOBIG_COIN$0.010.01 CSGOBIG_COIN0.02x5h

PP-Bizon Sand Dashed (Battle-Scarred)other · #B0C3D9$0.570.57 CSGOBIG_COIN$0.010.01 CSGOBIG_COIN0.02x7h

AWP | Neo-Noir (Field-Tested)weapon · covert$0.570.57 CSGOBIG_COIN$16.8516.85 CSGOBIG_COIN29.56x7h

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.00%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

Captured	Price	Advertised	Items
3 Nov, 04:27 UTC	$0.57	90.00%	11

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedcovert 2.0%classified 1.0%#d32ee6 1.0%Mythical 1.0%#8847ff 1.0%Rare 1.0%restricted 1.0%mil spec 2.0%#B0C3D9 90.0%best hit —