Reaper

A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page.

Price
$250.00
250 CSGOBIG_COIN
Advertised RTP
90.00%
EV $225.00 from 17 items
Observed RTP, 30d
—
no counted openings
Variance
6.3×
of price², per opening
Tail share
10.6%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
64.4%
of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

No counted openings yetOpenings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h0———
7d0———
30d0———
All0———
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values17 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
ItemOddsValueEV shareObservedExpectedHot / cold
Souvenir AWP | Dragon Lore (Field-Tested)Souvenir · weapon · covert1 in 10,000$42.9K 42,878 CSGOBIG_COIN1.9%00.0—
★ Karambit | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire)knife · covert · Sapphire1 in 3,333$11.2K 11,158 CSGOBIG_COIN1.5%00.0—
StatTrak™ M4A4 | Howl (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · legendary1 in 2,500$7,374 7,374 CSGOBIG_COIN1.3%00.0—
★ Specialist Gloves | Crimson Kimono (Minimal Wear)gloves · extraordinary1 in 1,000$6,269 6,269 CSGOBIG_COIN2.8%00.0—
★ Butterfly Knife | Night (Factory New)knife · covert1 in 250$2,074 2,074 CSGOBIG_COIN3.7%00.0—
★ Karambit | Lore (Minimal Wear)knife · covert1 in 100$1,625 1,625 CSGOBIG_COIN7.2%00.0—
AK-47 | Fire Serpent (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert1 in 100$1,430 1,430 CSGOBIG_COIN6.4%00.0—
★ Bowie Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby)knife · covert · Ruby1 in 50$1,363 1,363 CSGOBIG_COIN12.1%00.0—
★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Crimson Web (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · knife · covert1 in 33$848 848 CSGOBIG_COIN11.3%00.0—
★ Bayonet | Lore (Minimal Wear)knife · covert1 in 33$548 548 CSGOBIG_COIN7.3%00.0—
★ Ursus Knife | Fade (Factory New)knife · rare1 in 17$417 417 CSGOBIG_COIN11.1%00.0—
★ Specialist Gloves | Marble Fade (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinary1 in 11$308 308 CSGOBIG_COIN12.3%00.0—
AK-47 | Vulcan (Field-Tested)weapon · covert10.0%$274 274 CSGOBIG_COIN12.2%00.0—
★ Driver Gloves | Racing Green (Minimal Wear)gloves · extraordinary10.0%$96.86 96.86 CSGOBIG_COIN4.3%00.0—
M4A4 | The Coalition (Field-Tested)weapon · Ancient13.0%$49.10 49.1 CSGOBIG_COIN2.8%00.0—
P250 | Asiimov (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified20.0%$19.47 19.47 CSGOBIG_COIN1.7%00.0—
PP-Bizon Sand Dashed (Battle-Scarred)other · #B0C3D921.4%$0.01 0.01 CSGOBIG_COIN0.0%00.0—
Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=1044, 11 Nov, 13:05 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Latest dropsnewest first

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

No history yet

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
3 Nov, 04:27 UTC$25090.00%17
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedcovert 20.4%legendary 0.0%extraordinary 19.1%rare 6.0%Ancient 13.0%classified 20.0%#B0C3D9 21.4%