Sunshine Treasure
A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page.
Price
$88.43
88.43 CSGOBIG_COIN
Advertised RTP
90.05%
EV $79.63 from 15 items
Observed RTP, 30d
35.73%
12 openings, odds method
Variance
2.4×
of price², per opening
Tail share
21.5%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
63.3%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 12 openings and 2.6 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values15 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 12 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=1174, 11 Nov, 06:29 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
M4A1-S | Mecha Industries (Factory New)weapon · covert$88.4388.43 CSGOBIG_COIN$56.6056.6 CSGOBIG_COIN0.64x
Sticker | Fnatic (Holo) | Cologne 2014sticker · Mythical$88.4388.43 CSGOBIG_COIN$16.9116.91 CSGOBIG_COIN0.19x
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Nightwish (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · covert$88.4388.43 CSGOBIG_COIN$34.0534.05 CSGOBIG_COIN0.39x
Sticker | Fnatic (Holo) | Cologne 2014sticker · Mythical$88.4388.43 CSGOBIG_COIN$16.9116.91 CSGOBIG_COIN0.19x
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Nightwish (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · covert$88.4388.43 CSGOBIG_COIN$34.0534.05 CSGOBIG_COIN0.39x
M4A1-S | Mecha Industries (Factory New)weapon · covert$88.4388.43 CSGOBIG_COIN$56.6056.6 CSGOBIG_COIN0.64x
P2000 | Grassland Leaves (Minimal Wear)weapon · industrial$88.4388.43 CSGOBIG_COIN$13.1413.14 CSGOBIG_COIN0.15x
Sticker | HellRaisers (Foil) | Katowice 2015sticker · #D32CE6ChubbyBunny$88.4388.43 CSGOBIG_COIN$97.2197.21 CSGOBIG_COIN1.10x
P2000 | Grassland Leaves (Minimal Wear)weapon · industrial$88.4388.43 CSGOBIG_COIN$13.1413.14 CSGOBIG_COIN0.15x
Sticker | Fnatic (Holo) | Cologne 2014sticker · Mythical$88.4388.43 CSGOBIG_COIN$16.9116.91 CSGOBIG_COIN0.19x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.05%
No data in this window
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $88.43 | 90.05% | 15 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 34.5%#ffd700 0.1%gold 0.1%Legendary 15.0%#D32CE6 15.1%#B0C3D9 7.6%Mythical 5.9%industrial 4.4%classified 17.2%best hit —