Highroll

A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page.

Price
$108.44
108 CSGOBIG_COIN
Advertised RTP
90.05%
EV $97.65 from 15 items
Observed RTP, 30d
131.10%
1 openings, odds method
Variance
1.5×
of price², per opening
Tail share
29.4%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
55.7%
of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
30 days
1 openings · below min
since tracking started
1 openings · below min
-0.5%185.8%372.0%

Small sample. 1 openings and 0.3 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h0———
7d0———
30d1131.10%±240.2—odds
All1131.10%±240.2—odds
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values15 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
ItemOddsValueEV shareObservedExpectedHot / cold
★ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire)knife · covert · Sapphire1 in 10,000$6,478 6,478 CSGOBIG_COIN0.7%00.0—
★ Moto Gloves | Spearmint (Minimal Wear)gloves · extraordinary1 in 2,500$3,717 3,717 CSGOBIG_COIN1.5%00.0—
★ Karambit | Fade (Minimal Wear)knife · epic1 in 2,000$2,290 2,290 CSGOBIG_COIN1.2%00.0—
★ Butterfly Knife | Slaughter (Factory New)knife · covert1 in 2,000$1,463 1,463 CSGOBIG_COIN0.7%00.0—
★ Butterfly Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New)knife · covert1 in 1,000$1,147 1,147 CSGOBIG_COIN1.2%00.0—
M4A1-S | Blue Phosphor (Factory New)weapon · classified1 in 1,000$840 840 CSGOBIG_COIN0.9%00.0—
★ Skeleton Knife | Fade (Minimal Wear)knife · legendary1 in 500$565 565 CSGOBIG_COIN1.2%00.0—
★ Skeleton Knife | Scorched (Field-Tested)knife · covert knife1 in 1,021$277 277 CSGOBIG_COIN0.3%00.0—
★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Bright Water (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · knife · covert knife10.9%$192 192 CSGOBIG_COIN21.5%00.1—
★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Safari Mesh (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · knife · covert17.8%$142 142 CSGOBIG_COIN25.9%10.2—
★ Classic Knife | Safari Mesh (Battle-Scarred)knife · covert knife14.9%$112 112 CSGOBIG_COIN17.0%00.1—
★ Gut Knife | Night (Battle-Scarred)knife · covert knife1 in 11$88.52 88.52 CSGOBIG_COIN8.2%00.1—
Souvenir MP9 | Setting Sun (Factory New)Souvenir · weapon · mil spec1 in 14$65.67 65.67 CSGOBIG_COIN4.7%00.1—
Souvenir AK-47 | Safety Net (Factory New)Souvenir · weapon · Restricted1 in 18$46.70 46.7 CSGOBIG_COIN2.6%00.1—
USP-S | Serum (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified34.3%$35.62 35.62 CSGOBIG_COIN12.5%00.3—
Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=1182, 11 Nov, 19:23 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Latest dropsnewest first

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.05%
No data in this window

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
3 Nov, 04:27 UTC$10890.05%15
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedcovert 18.0%extraordinary 0.0%epic 0.1%classified 34.4%legendary 0.2%covert knife 34.9%mil spec 6.9%Restricted 5.4%best hit —