Cloudburst
A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page.
Price
$67.33
67.33 CSGOBIG_COIN
Advertised RTP
90.06%
EV $60.64 from 12 items
Observed RTP, 30d
50.69%
2 openings, odds method
Variance
9.3×
of price², per opening
Tail share
25.0%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
75.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 2 openings and 0.5 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 2 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=1209, 11 Nov, 06:29 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Sticker | MSL (Foil) | Boston 2018sticker · #8847FF$67.3367.33 CSGOBIG_COIN$34.1334.13 CSGOBIG_COIN0.51x
Sticker | MSL (Foil) | Boston 2018sticker · #8847FF$67.3367.33 CSGOBIG_COIN$34.1334.13 CSGOBIG_COIN0.51x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.06%
No data in this window
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $67.33 | 90.06% | 12 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 26.8%gold 0.1%covert knife 0.1%#D32CE6 14.7%#8847FF 14.7%restricted 8.6%classified 6.7%industrial 28.3%best hit —