Coral Casket

A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page.

Price

$10.00

10 CSGOBIG_COIN

Advertised RTP

90.01%

EV $9.00 from 15 items

Observed RTP, 30d

28.75%

24 openings, odds method

Variance

7.1×

of price², per opening

Tail share

1 in 25

of openings carry half the EV

Below price

89.6%

of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample

24 hours

3 openings · below min

7 days

24 openings · below min

30 days

24 openings · below min

since tracking started

24 openings · below min

-0.5%152.0%304.5%

Small sample. 24 openings and 1.0 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

Window	Openings	Observed	Dev.	Method
24h	3	3.13%±300.5	—	odds
7d	24	28.75%±106.2	—	odds
30d	24	28.75%±106.2	—	odds
All	24	28.75%±106.2	—	odds

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values15 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 24 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

Item	Odds	Value	EV share	Observed	Expected	Hot / cold
Desert Eagle \| Ocean Drive (Factory New)weapon · covert	1 in 25	$124 124 CSGOBIG_COIN	55.2%	0	1.0	—
StatTrak™ P250 \| Undertow (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 18	$51.33 51.33 CSGOBIG_COIN	31.3%	1	1.3	0.76×
StatTrak™ P250 \| Undertow (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · Legendary	1 in 109	$50.00 50 CSGOBIG_COIN	5.1%	0	0.2	—
Patch \| Sunset Wavepatch · remarkable	1 in 36	$4.23 4.23 CSGOBIG_COIN	1.3%	1	0.7	—
Sticker \| Ocean Sunset Skill Surf (Holo)sticker · remarkable	1 in 14	$2.99 2.99 CSGOBIG_COIN	2.4%	2	1.8	1.14×
PP-Bizon \| Seabird (Factory New)weapon · Common	10.1%	$2.13 2.13 CSGOBIG_COIN	2.4%	1	2.4	0.41×
StatTrak™ MP7 \| Cirrus (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · Rare	12.8%	$0.54 0.54 CSGOBIG_COIN	0.8%	1	3.1	0.33×
MP7 \| Cirrus (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec	1 in 11	$0.39 0.39 CSGOBIG_COIN	0.4%	3	2.2	1.37×
StatTrak™ MAC-10 \| Oceanic (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade	1 in 16	$0.35 0.35 CSGOBIG_COIN	0.2%	3	1.5	1.95×
MP7 \| Cirrus (Well-Worn)weapon · milspec	1 in 12	$0.30 0.3 CSGOBIG_COIN	0.3%	5	2.0	2.53×
P250 \| Ripple (Minimal Wear)weapon · Rare	1 in 22	$0.29 0.29 CSGOBIG_COIN	0.1%	1	1.1	0.91×
Glock-18 \| High Beam (Factory New)weapon · light blue	1 in 55	$0.23 0.23 CSGOBIG_COIN	0.0%	1	0.4	—
Sticker \| Sunset Ocean Tentaskullsticker · high	11.9%	$0.23 0.23 CSGOBIG_COIN	0.3%	2	2.9	0.70×
MAC-10 \| Oceanic (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec	1 in 27	$0.19 0.19 CSGOBIG_COIN	0.1%	0	0.9	—
SG 553 \| Waves Perforated (Field-Tested)weapon · #B0C3D9	11.0%	$0.03 0.03 CSGOBIG_COIN	0.0%	3	2.6	1.14×

Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=131, 11 Nov, 06:29 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Latest dropsnewest first

All →

P250 | Ripple (Minimal Wear)weapon · Rare$10.0010 CSGOBIG_COIN$0.290.29 CSGOBIG_COIN0.03x16h

MP7 | Cirrus (Well-Worn)weapon · milspec$10.0010 CSGOBIG_COIN$0.300.3 CSGOBIG_COIN0.03x16h

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Oceanic (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec GradeAdnaNN#$10.0010 CSGOBIG_COIN$0.350.35 CSGOBIG_COIN0.03x16h

SG 553 | Waves Perforated (Field-Tested)weapon · #B0C3D9$10.0010 CSGOBIG_COIN$0.030.03 CSGOBIG_COIN0.00x1d

Sticker | Sunset Ocean Tentaskullsticker · high$10.0010 CSGOBIG_COIN$0.230.23 CSGOBIG_COIN0.02x1d

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Oceanic (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade$10.0010 CSGOBIG_COIN$0.350.35 CSGOBIG_COIN0.03x2d

Glock-18 | High Beam (Factory New)weapon · light blue$10.0010 CSGOBIG_COIN$0.230.23 CSGOBIG_COIN0.02x2d

MP7 | Cirrus (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec$10.0010 CSGOBIG_COIN$0.390.39 CSGOBIG_COIN0.04x2d

SG 553 | Waves Perforated (Field-Tested)weapon · #B0C3D9$10.0010 CSGOBIG_COIN$0.030.03 CSGOBIG_COIN0.00x2d

Sticker | Ocean Sunset Skill Surf (Holo)sticker · remarkable$10.0010 CSGOBIG_COIN$2.992.99 CSGOBIG_COIN0.30x3d

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.01%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

Captured	Price	Advertised	Items
3 Nov, 04:27 UTC	$10.00	90.01%	15

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedcovert 4.0%classified 5.5%Legendary 0.9%remarkable 10.1%Common 10.1%Rare 17.4%mil spec 12.8%Mil Spec Grade 6.4%milspec 8.2%light blue 1.8%high 11.9%#B0C3D9 11.0%best hit —