Greek Mythos
A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page.
Price
$20.00
20 CSGOBIG_COIN
Advertised RTP
90.00%
EV $18.00 from 12 items
Observed RTP, 30d
49.62%
40 openings, odds method
Variance
30.1×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 11
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
75.8%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 40 openings and 3.7 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 40 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=231, 11 Nov, 06:29 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Souvenir XM1014 | Ancient Lore (Factory New)Souvenir · weapon · #8847FF$20.0020 CSGOBIG_COIN$4.944.94 CSGOBIG_COIN0.25x
Paris 2023 Ancient Souvenir Packagecontainer · #F2F8FF$20.0020 CSGOBIG_COIN$5.995.99 CSGOBIG_COIN0.30x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.00%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $20.00 | 90.00% | 12 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 27.2%classified 18.3%mil spec 3.1%#F2F8FF 10.6%#8847FF 18.2%#B0C3D9 16.5%#4b69ff 6.1%best hit —