Platinum Wins
A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page.
Price
$50.00
50 CSGOBIG_COIN
Advertised RTP
90.00%
EV $45.00 from 12 items
Observed RTP, 30d
47.76%
69 openings, odds method
Variance
56.7×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 185
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
91.1%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 69 openings and 0.4 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 69 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=258, 11 Nov, 06:29 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
★ Ursus Knife | Urban Masked (Minimal Wear)knife · covert knife$50.0050 CSGOBIG_COIN$155155 CSGOBIG_COIN3.10x
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Phantom Disruptor (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · classified$50.0050 CSGOBIG_COIN$17.8717.87 CSGOBIG_COIN0.36x
Five-SeveN | Buddy (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted$50.0050 CSGOBIG_COIN$0.880.88 CSGOBIG_COIN0.02x
Five-SeveN | Buddy (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted$50.0050 CSGOBIG_COIN$0.880.88 CSGOBIG_COIN0.02x
★ Ursus Knife | Urban Masked (Minimal Wear)knife · covert knife$50.0050 CSGOBIG_COIN$155155 CSGOBIG_COIN3.10x
★ Ursus Knife | Urban Masked (Minimal Wear)knife · covert knife$50.0050 CSGOBIG_COIN$155155 CSGOBIG_COIN3.10x
StatTrak™ P90 | Shapewood (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · classified$50.0050 CSGOBIG_COIN$4.554.55 CSGOBIG_COIN0.09x
★ Ursus Knife | Urban Masked (Minimal Wear)knife · covert knife$50.0050 CSGOBIG_COIN$155155 CSGOBIG_COIN3.10x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.00%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $50.00 | 90.00% | 12 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 0.5%covert knife 8.3%classified 30.3%restricted 16.7%#777777 5.6%High Grade 22.0%mil spec 16.5%best hit —