Opulence

A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page.

Price
$652.16
652 CSGOBIG_COIN
Advertised RTP
90.00%
EV $586.94 from 19 items
Observed RTP, 30d
—
no counted openings
Variance
23.4×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 18
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
77.0%
of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

No counted openings yetOpenings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h0———
7d0———
30d0———
All0———
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values19 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
ItemOddsValueEV shareObservedExpectedHot / cold
M4A4 | Howl - 4x IBP (Factory New)weapon · #E4AE391 in 10,000$150K 150,000 CSGOBIG_COIN2.6%00.0—
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Case Hardened (Minimal Wear) - Pattern 661StatTrak · weapon · #D32CE61 in 3,333$100K 100,000 CSGOBIG_COIN5.1%00.0—
★ Sport Gloves | Pandora's Box (Factory New)gloves · legendary1 in 2,000$61K 61,000 CSGOBIG_COIN5.2%00.0—
Souvenir AWP | Dragon Lore (Battle-Scarred)Souvenir · weapon · covert1 in 1,000$35K 35,000 CSGOBIG_COIN6.0%00.0—
Sticker | Team LDLC.com (Holo) | Katowice 2014sticker · remarkable1 in 909$21.5K 21,500 CSGOBIG_COIN4.0%00.0—
AK-47 | Wild Lotus (Factory New)weapon · legendary1 in 667$15K 15,000 CSGOBIG_COIN3.8%00.0—
AWP | Dragon Lore (Factory New)weapon · covert1 in 588$11.5K 11,500 CSGOBIG_COIN3.3%00.0—
★ Karambit | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire)knife · covert · Sapphire1 in 500$8,250 8,250 CSGOBIG_COIN2.8%00.0—
M4A4 | Howl (Factory New)weapon · contraband1 in 250$6,700 6,700 CSGOBIG_COIN4.6%00.0—
★ Talon Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire)knife · covert · Sapphire1 in 77$3,800 3,800 CSGOBIG_COIN8.4%00.0—
★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby)StatTrak · knife · #EB4B4B · Ruby1 in 33$2,200 2,200 CSGOBIG_COIN11.2%00.0—
Glock-18 | Fade (Factory New)weapon · restricted1 in 23$1,500 1,500 CSGOBIG_COIN11.2%00.0—
★ Huntsman Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire)knife · covert · Sapphire1 in 19$1,100 1,100 CSGOBIG_COIN9.9%00.0—
★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife | Slaughter (Field-Tested)StatTrak · knife · covert1 in 13$800 800 CSGOBIG_COIN10.6%00.0—
★ Kukri Knife | Slaughter (Minimal Wear)knife · covert1 in 20$350 350 CSGOBIG_COIN3.0%00.0—
★ Flip Knife | Rust Coat (Well-Worn)knife · covert knife1 in 13$200 200 CSGOBIG_COIN2.7%00.0—
★ Gut Knife | Ultraviolet (Battle-Scarred)knife · covert10.0%$125 125 CSGOBIG_COIN2.1%00.0—
StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Stalker (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · covert24.0%$50.00 50 CSGOBIG_COIN2.0%00.0—
SG 553 | Ultraviolet (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec30.0%$25.00 25 CSGOBIG_COIN1.3%00.0—
Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=452, 11 Nov, 12:47 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Latest dropsnewest first

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

No history yet

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
3 Nov, 04:27 UTC$65290.00%19
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed#E4AE39 0.0%#D32CE6 0.0%legendary 0.2%covert 53.8%remarkable 0.1%contraband 0.4%#EB4B4B 3.0%restricted 4.4%covert knife 8.0%mil spec 30.0%