Galactic Conquerors
A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page.
Price
$2.00
2 CSGOBIG_COIN
Advertised RTP
89.97%
EV $1.80 from 15 items
Observed RTP, 30d
55.25%
10 openings, odds method
Variance
0.7×
of price², per opening
Tail share
19.5%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
72.8%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 10 openings and 1.9 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values15 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 10 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=88, 11 Nov, 06:29 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Sealed Graffiti | Space Soldiers | London 2018graffiti · high$2.002 CSGOBIG_COIN$1.231.23 CSGOBIG_COIN0.62x
Sealed Graffiti | Space Soldiers | London 2018graffiti · high$2.002 CSGOBIG_COIN$1.231.23 CSGOBIG_COIN0.62x
Sawed-Off | Apocalypto (Battle-Scarred)weapon · #8847ff$2.002 CSGOBIG_COIN$0.480.48 CSGOBIG_COIN0.24x
StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Space Cat (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · Restricted$2.002 CSGOBIG_COIN$3.993.99 CSGOBIG_COIN2.00x
StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Apocalypto (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · restricted$2.002 CSGOBIG_COIN$1.101.1 CSGOBIG_COIN0.55x
StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Apocalypto (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · restricted$2.002 CSGOBIG_COIN$1.101.1 CSGOBIG_COIN0.55x
Souvenir M249 | Contrast Spray (Field-Tested)Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade$2.002 CSGOBIG_COIN$0.050.05 CSGOBIG_COIN0.03x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 89.97%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $2.00 | 89.97% | 15 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listed3 5.2%restricted 38.2%Restricted 9.5%#8847ff 19.7%high 11.9%violet 10.2%Common 4.4%Consumer Grade 0.9%best hit —