Fade

A case on CSGOCASES (Unique cases), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOCASES's own item price.

Price

$8.49

Advertised RTP

—

no catalog

Observed RTP, 30d

138.50%

2,072 openings, sample method

Variance

—

needs odds

Tail share

—

needs odds

Below price

—

needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample

24 hours

102 openings · below min

7 days

142.40%±71.281,774 openings

30 days

138.50%±61.632,072 openings

since tracking started

138.50%±61.632,072 openings

46.5%130.5%214.5%

Windowsthe test per window

Window	Openings	Observed	Dev.	Method
24h	102	96.80%±49.6	—	sample
7d	1,774	142.40%±71.3	—	sample
30d	2,072	138.50%±61.6	—	sample
All	2,072	138.50%±61.6	—	sample

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogCSGOCASES publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.

Values are CSGOCASES's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

★ Karambit | Fade (Factory New)knife · covertghostboy$8.49$5,063596.3x5d

AWP | Fade (Factory New)weapon · covertzald$8.49$1,374161.9x6d

★ Talon Knife | Fade (Factory New)knife · epicANCHOR$8.49$1,164137.1x2d

M4A1-S | Fade (Factory New)weapon · epicChetras-$8.49$54163.66x7d

★ Bayonet | Fade (Factory New)knife · covertChetras-$8.49$49358.04x7d

★ Bayonet | Marble Fade (Factory New)knife · covertWOODYWALKER$8.49$46855.14x1d

★ Bayonet | Marble Fade (Factory New)knife · covertNorm4NR$8.49$46855.14x3d

★ Flip Knife | Fade (Factory New)knife · coverttwitch.tv/yDiony$8.49$45153.09x3d

Latest dropsnewest first

All →

M4A4 | Faded Zebra (Field-Tested)weapon · mil specamxreuszz$8.49$7.050.83x2h

SSG 08 | Acid Fade (Factory New)weapon · mil specamxreuszz$8.49$1.150.14x2h

Sawed-Off | Amber Fade (Minimal Wear)weapon · 1amxreuszz$8.49$2.360.28x2h

R8 Revolver | Amber Fade (Minimal Wear)weapon · classifiedamxreuszz$8.49$2.590.31x2h

SSG 08 | Acid Fade (Factory New)weapon · mil specamxreuszz$8.49$1.150.14x2h

Sawed-Off | Amber Fade (Factory New)weapon · 1amxreuszz$8.49$3.890.46x2h

Sawed-Off | Amber Fade (Minimal Wear)weapon · 1amxreuszz$8.49$2.360.28x2h

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

Captured	Price	Advertised	Items
3 Nov, 04:38 UTC	$8.49	—	0

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $5,063 (596.3x)