Vanilla

A case on CSGOEmpire, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOEmpire's own item price converted from Empire coins at the rate on the site page.

Price
$40.76
66.36 coins
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
92.83%
3,240 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
319 openings · below min
7 days
95.51%±9.002,368 openings
30 days
92.83%±7.283,240 openings
since tracking started
92.83%±7.283,240 openings
68.5%93.5%118.5%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h31993.39%±24.3—sample
7d2,36895.51%±9.00—sample
30d3,24092.83%±7.28—sample
All3,24092.83%±7.28—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogCSGOEmpire publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are CSGOEmpire's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

★ Knife | Butterfly Knifeother$40.7666.36 coins$1,5972,599 coins39.17x
★ Knife | Skeleton Knifeother$40.7666.36 coins$8001,302 coins19.62x
★ Knife | Skeleton Knifeotherzackarias2016$40.7666.36 coins$8001,302 coins19.62x
★ Knife | Skeleton Knifeother$40.7666.36 coins$8001,302 coins19.62x
★ Knife | Skeleton Knifeother$40.7666.36 coins$8001,302 coins19.62x
★ Knife | Skeleton Knifeother$40.7666.36 coins$8001,302 coins19.62x
★ Knife | Skeleton Knifeothernetin$40.7666.36 coins$8001,302 coins19.62x
★ Knife | Skeleton Knifeother$40.7666.36 coins$8001,302 coins19.62x
★ Knife | Skeleton Knifeother$40.7666.36 coins$8001,302 coins19.62x
★ Knife | Skeleton KnifeotherBocaaj$40.7666.36 coins$8001,302 coins19.62x

Latest dropsnewest first

MAC-10 | Silver (Minimal Wear)weapon · industrial$40.7666.36 coins$0.030.05 coins0.00x
Glock-18 | Ironwork (Battle-Scarred)weapon · Rare$40.7666.36 coins$0.030.05 coins0.00x
MAC-10 | Silver (Minimal Wear)weapon · industrial$40.7666.36 coins$0.030.05 coins0.00x
P2000 | Silver (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil specCrewSader.$40.7666.36 coins$50.8382.74 coins1.25x
P2000 | Silver (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec$40.7666.36 coins$50.8382.74 coins1.25x
Glock-18 | Ironwork (Battle-Scarred)weapon · Rare$40.7666.36 coins$0.030.05 coins0.00x
P2000 | Silver (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec$40.7666.36 coins$50.8382.74 coins1.25x
R8 Revolver | Memento (Battle-Scarred)weapon · mil spec$40.7666.36 coins$0.030.05 coins0.00x
MAC-10 | Silver (Minimal Wear)weapon · industrial$40.7666.36 coins$0.030.05 coins0.00x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $1,597 (39.17x)