Ice Age

A case on CSGOEmpire (Featured), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOEmpire's own item price converted from Empire coins at the rate on the site page.

Price
$15.69
25.54 coins
Advertised RTP
91.21%
EV $14.31 from 18 items
Observed RTP, 30d
—
no counted openings
Variance
5.1×
of price², per opening
Tail share
12.6%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
60.0%
of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

No counted openings yetOpenings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h0———
7d0———
30d0———
All0———
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values18 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
ItemOddsValueEV shareObservedExpectedHot / cold
★ Driver Gloves | Snow Leopard (Minimal Wear)gloves · extraordinary1 in 5,000$1,430 2,328 coins2.0%00.0—
★ Karambit | Damascus Steel (Minimal Wear)knife · rare1 in 2,000$661 1,076 coins2.3%00.0—
★ Moto Gloves | Eclipse (Minimal Wear)gloves · extraordinary1 in 714$261 426 coins2.6%00.0—
★ Nomad Knife | Stained (Field-Tested)knife · covert1 in 500$215 350 coins3.0%00.0—
AWP | Graphite (Factory New)weapon · classified1 in 135$157 255 coins8.1%00.0—
★ Gut Knife | Damascus Steel (Factory New)knife · covert1 in 200$118 193 coins4.1%00.0—
M4A1-S | Printstream (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert1 in 133$84.57 138 coins4.4%00.0—
StatTrak™ USP-S | Stainless (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade1 in 100$61.50 100 coins4.3%00.0—
Desert Eagle | Pilot (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted1 in 40$49.20 80.1 coins8.6%00.0—
Desert Eagle | Printstream (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert1 in 33$43.05 70.09 coins9.0%00.0—
USP-S | Printstream (Field-Tested)weapon · covert1 in 27$35.36 57.57 coins9.1%00.0—
M4A1-S | Mecha Industries (Minimal Wear)weapon · Ancient1 in 24$30.75 50.06 coins9.1%00.0—
StatTrak™ MP9 | Hypnotic (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · #8847ff1 in 15$24.60 40.05 coins11.2%00.0—
SG 553 | Integrale (Field-Tested)weapon · classified1 in 13$21.52 35.04 coins11.2%00.0—
M4A4 | X-Ray (Factory New)weapon · covert1 in 11$16.91 27.53 coins10.9%00.0—
MAC-10 | Ensnared (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff20.0%<$0.01 0.01 coins0.0%00.0—
MP7 | Armor Core (Well-Worn)weapon · 120.0%<$0.01 0.01 coins0.0%00.0—
CZ75-Auto | Imprint (Well-Worn)weapon · Mil Spec Grade20.0%<$0.01 0.01 coins0.0%00.0—
Values are CSGOEmpire's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from csgoempire:caseopening/case.chance, 11 Nov, 09:22 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Latest dropsnewest first

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

No history yet

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
2 Nov, 21:38 UTC$15.6991.21%18
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed1 20.0%extraordinary 0.2%rare 0.1%covert 17.4%classified 8.2%Mil Spec Grade 21.0%restricted 2.5%Ancient 4.2%#8847ff 6.5%#4b69ff 20.0%