The 2021 Dust 2 Collection

A case on CSGOFAST, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOFAST's own item price.

Price

$35.00

Advertised RTP

—

no catalog

Observed RTP, 30d

178.45%

2,305 openings, sample method

Variance

—

needs odds

Tail share

—

needs odds

Below price

—

needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample

24 hours

274 openings · below min

7 days

182.46%±26.932,009 openings

30 days

178.45%±24.672,305 openings

since tracking started

178.45%±24.672,305 openings

136.5%230.0%323.5%

Windowsthe test per window

Window	Openings	Observed	Dev.	Method
24h	274	229.94%±93.0	—	sample
7d	2,009	182.46%±26.9	—	sample
30d	2,305	178.45%±24.7	—	sample
All	2,305	178.45%±24.7	—	sample

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogCSGOFAST publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.

Values are CSGOFAST's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

AK-47 | Gold Arabesque (Battle-Scarred)weapon · covert2727 Clan$35.00$1,73449.55x4d

AK-47 | Gold Arabesque (Battle-Scarred)weapon · covertSilvio Santos$35.00$1,73449.55x5d

AK-47 | Gold Arabesque (Battle-Scarred)weapon · covert₭łⱤɎ₳_ⱫⱫⱫ$35.00$1,73449.55x5d

AK-47 | Gold Arabesque (Battle-Scarred)weapon · covertNOOBS$35.00$1,73449.55x5d

AK-47 | Gold Arabesque (Battle-Scarred)weapon · covertKono Dio Da!$35.00$1,73449.55x5d

AK-47 | Gold Arabesque (Battle-Scarred)weapon · covertStrimer$35.00$1,73449.55x6d

AK-47 | Gold Arabesque (Battle-Scarred)weapon · covertwood glue$35.00$1,73449.55x6d

AK-47 | Gold Arabesque (Battle-Scarred)weapon · covertВадим Шишкин$35.00$1,73449.55x7d

AK-47 | Gold Arabesque (Battle-Scarred)weapon · covertAleon-_-$35.00$1,72049.13x3d

Latest dropsnewest first

All →

M249 | Midnight Palm (Factory New)weapon · Industrial GradeDayv$35.00$3.470.10x7m

USP-S | Orange Anolis (Minimal Wear)weapon · MythicalViToL_EU$35.00$38.631.10x20m

AUG | Spalted Wood (Factory New)weapon · UncommonPerfect$35.00$2.470.07x20m

MAC-10 | Case Hardened (Factory New)weapon · restrictedSonic$35.00$74.832.14x20m

P250 | Black & Tan (Factory New)weapon · milspecPerfect$35.00$16.740.48x20m

Galil AR | Amber Fade (Factory New)weapon · Mil Spec GradeZyw0o$35.00$29.910.85x20m

AK-47 | Gold Arabesque (Battle-Scarred)weapon · covertWicked jester$35.00$1,61946.26x26m

G3SG1 | New Roots (Factory New)weapon · Mil Spec GradeThe Suspect$35.00$17.200.49x33m

MAC-10 | Case Hardened (Factory New)weapon · restrictedДед CSGOFAST.COM$35.00$74.832.14x33m

G3SG1 | New Roots (Factory New)weapon · Mil Spec GradePerfect$35.00$17.200.49x1h

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

Captured	Price	Advertised	Items

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $1,734 (49.55x)