Da 1%
A case on CSGORoll, first seen 5 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page.
Price
$3.80
5.43 coins
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
99.77%
141 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 141 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and valuesnone published
No catalogCSGORoll publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.
Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Damascus Steel (Field-Tested)StatTrak · knife · covert knife$3.805.43 coins$312445 coins82.01x
★ Bowie Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 3)knife · covert · Phase 3F1 Enthusiast$3.805.43 coins$222317 coins58.42x
Latest dropsnewest first
SSG 08 | Blue Spruce (Field-Tested)weapon · consumerF1 Enthusiast$3.805.43 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, daily
No data in this window
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedbest hit $312 (82.01x)