Infinity
A case on CSGORoll, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page.
Price
$25.78
36.83 coins
Advertised RTP
90.91%
EV $23.44 from 30 items
Observed RTP, 30d
90.55%
8,788 openings, odds method
Variance
1.3×
of price², per opening
Tail share
13.7%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
68.8%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values30 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 8,795 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate, 11 Nov, 08:26 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
★ Talon Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire)knife · covert · Sapphire$24.9535.64 coins$1,5392,199 coins61.70x
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.91%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov, 02:14 UTC | $25.78 | 90.91% | 30 |
| 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $25.79 | 90.90% | 30 |
| 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $25.40 | 90.91% | 30 |
| 6 Nov, 22:57 UTC | $24.93 | 90.91% | 30 |
| 3 Nov, 22:41 UTC | $24.95 | 90.92% | 30 |
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $24.95 | 90.90% | 30 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 12.5%classified 7.2%extraordinary 0.0%mil spec 12.8%restricted 9.5%red 0.2%rare 2.7%consumer 55.0%best hit $1,539 (61.70x)