Beach
A case on CSGORUN (oldcasesale), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORUN's own item price.
Price
$3.86
Advertised RTP
93.93%
EV $3.63 from 49 items
Observed RTP, 30d
91.46%
971 openings, odds method
Variance
8.6×
of price², per opening
Tail share
22.6%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
58.6%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values49 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 971 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are CSGORUN's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
csgorun:v1/box/beach/show, 11 Nov, 10:14 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 93.93%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 Nov, 23:09 UTC | $3.86 | 93.93% | 49 |
| 4 Nov, 04:54 UTC | $3.93 | 92.25% | 49 |
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $3.93 | 92.79% | 49 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedlegendary 0.0%covert 0.0%classified 11.8%extraordinary 0.0%gold 0.0%sunny 0.0%restricted 12.6%rare 0.0%exceptional 0.0%Ancient 0.1%red 0.2%pink 9.8%blue 11.5%#d32ee6 2.4%Mythical 13.7%#8847ff 3.7%Classified 5.0%milspec 6.8%violet 14.6%mil spec 7.7%best hit —