Canals
A case on CSGORUN (coll2026), first seen 5 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORUN's own item price.
Price
$68.99
Advertised RTP
89.31%
EV $61.61 from 30 items
Observed RTP, 30d
87.01%
34 openings, sample method
Variance
1.1×
of price², per opening
Tail share
27.4%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
62.7%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 34 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values30 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 34 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are CSGORUN's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
csgorun:v1/box/canals/show, 11 Nov, 10:14 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 89.31%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 Nov, 05:23 UTC | $68.99 | 89.31% | 30 |
| 5 Nov, 23:09 UTC | $68.99 | 94.00% | 30 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 0.0%classified 0.3%Classified 0.2%restricted 31.7%violet 5.0%mil spec 31.5%industrial 3.9%Mil Spec Grade 3.9%#4b69ff 3.9%Industrial Grade 3.9%consumer 7.8%Consumer Grade 3.9%#777777 3.9%best hit —