Chicks
A case on CSGORUN (chickens), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORUN's own item price.
Price
$1.68
Advertised RTP
92.17%
EV $1.55 from 49 items
Observed RTP, 30d
95.03%
4,551 openings, odds method
Variance
1.3×
of price², per opening
Tail share
20.3%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
68.5%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values49 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 4,551 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are CSGORUN's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
csgorun:v1/box/chicks/show, 11 Nov, 10:14 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 92.17%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Nov, 04:54 UTC | $1.68 | 92.17% | 49 |
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $1.68 | 92.04% | 49 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listed2 4.4%3 4.3%legendary 0.0%gold 0.0%sunny 0.0%extraordinary 0.0%covert 0.0%covert knife 0.0%classified 2.9%#d32ee6 0.7%blue 0.1%industrial 0.5%pink 6.2%Mythical 8.9%restricted 12.2%#8847ff 16.9%violet 9.0%blueLight 4.5%mil spec 17.6%Mil Spec 4.2%Common 4.0%#b0c3d9 3.7%best hit $86.84 (51.69x)