Classic fuel
A case on CSGORUN (oldcasesale), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORUN's own item price.
Price
$1.75
Advertised RTP
93.64%
EV $1.64 from 42 items
Observed RTP, 30d
90.54%
132 openings, odds method
Variance
1.9×
of price², per opening
Tail share
19.8%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
70.2%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values42 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 135 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are CSGORUN's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
csgorun:v1/box/classic_fuel/show, 11 Nov, 10:14 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 93.64%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 Nov, 23:09 UTC | $1.75 | 93.64% | 42 |
| 4 Nov, 04:54 UTC | $1.78 | 92.06% | 42 |
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $1.78 | 92.34% | 42 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 0.0%extraordinary 0.0%restricted 6.6%rare 0.0%epic 0.0%sunny 0.0%red 0.0%Ancient 0.0%pink 11.8%uncommon 0.3%Mythical 15.5%classified 2.6%blue 14.3%violet 11.1%Rare 12.6%#8847ff 6.4%milspec 12.6%#4b69ff 6.3%best hit —