Daily 7

A case on CSGORUN (daily), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORUN's own item price.

Price
$9.47
Advertised RTP
63.49%
EV $6.01 from 28 items
Observed RTP, 30d
—
no counted openings
Variance
0.8×
of price², per opening
Tail share
15.5%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
79.7%
of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

No counted openings yetOpenings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h0———
7d0———
30d0———
All0———
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values28 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
ItemOddsValueEV shareObservedExpectedHot / cold
AWP | Medusa (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert1 in 1,000,000$3,2520.1%00.0—
★ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Factory New)knife · sunny1 in 1,000,000$2,1220.0%00.0—
Glock-18 | Fade (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted1 in 1,000,000$1,9550.0%00.0—
★ Butterfly Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New)knife · covert1 in 1,000,000$1,1200.0%00.0—
★ M9 Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New)knife · sunny1 in 1,000,000$9110.0%00.0—
★ Butterfly Knife | Autotronic (Battle-Scarred)knife · covert1 in 1,000,000$6680.0%00.0—
★ Sport Gloves | Omega (Minimal Wear)gloves · extraordinary1 in 1,000,000$4200.0%00.0—
★ Bayonet | Crimson Web (Minimal Wear)knife · covert1 in 1,000,000$3400.0%00.0—
AWP | Containment Breach (Factory New)weapon · covert1 in 1,000,000$3150.0%00.0—
★ Driver Gloves | Black Tie (Minimal Wear)gloves · extraordinary1 in 1,000,000$2920.0%00.0—
★ Paracord Knife | Doppler (Factory New)knife · rare1 in 1,000,000$2070.0%00.0—
AWP | Printstream (Factory New)weapon · Ancient1 in 1,000,000$1600.0%00.0—
AK-47 | Panthera onca (Field-Tested)weapon · pink1 in 1,000,000$1550.0%00.0—
Desert Eagle | Starcade (Factory New)weapon · rare1 in 1,000,000$1530.0%00.0—
★ Bowie Knife | Bright Water (Field-Tested)knife · gold1 in 320$52.302.7%00.0—
AWP | Green Energy (Factory New)weapon · rare1 in 9,901$30.270.1%00.0—
Galil AR | Rainbow Spoon (Factory New)weapon · rare1 in 3,030$26.660.1%00.0—
StatTrak™ MP7 | Bloodsport (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · red1 in 15$21.7624.1%00.0—
Glock-18 | AXIA (Battle-Scarred)weapon · rare1 in 63$19.555.2%00.0—
Five-SeveN | Fairy Tale (Battle-Scarred)weapon · #d32ee61 in 21$17.5014.2%00.0—
USP-S | Jawbreaker (Factory New)weapon · pink1 in 49$16.255.5%00.0—
M4A4 | Hellish (Field-Tested)weapon · rare1 in 77$15.783.4%00.0—
MP9 | Latte Rush (Field-Tested)weapon · Legendary1 in 29$9.485.5%00.0—
AWP | Duality (Factory New)weapon · pink1 in 11$9.4014.9%00.0—
USP-S | Royal Guard (Factory New)weapon · Mythical14.1%$4.6911.0%00.0—
USP-S | Bleeding Edge (Minimal Wear)weapon · Mythical15.7%$2.616.8%00.0—
USP-S | Tropical Breeze (Factory New)weapon · #4b69ff18.4%$1.103.4%00.0—
M4A1-S | Night Terror (Minimal Wear)weapon · Mythical21.9%$0.782.8%00.0—
Values are CSGORUN's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from csgorun:v1/box/daily7/show, 6 Nov, 11:37 UTC.

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

No history yet

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
4 Nov, 04:54 UTC$9.4763.49%28
3 Nov, 04:27 UTC$9.4763.29%28
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedcovert 0.0%sunny 0.0%restricted 0.0%extraordinary 0.0%rare 2.9%Ancient 0.0%pink 11.6%gold 0.3%red 6.7%#d32ee6 4.9%Legendary 3.5%Mythical 51.7%#4b69ff 18.4%