Egg
A case on CSGORUN (chickens), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORUN's own item price.
Price
$0.38
Advertised RTP
94.01%
EV $0.36 from 49 items
Observed RTP, 30d
96.32%
21.4K openings, odds method
Variance
1.2×
of price², per opening
Tail share
23.3%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
56.1%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Outside band, 30 days. Advertised 93.70% sits outside the 95% band of the observed openings (94.84% – 97.81%, 21,410 openings, 30 days). The band comes from the site's own odds and values; the figure is a fact about these openings, not a verdict on the case.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values49 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 21.4K openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are CSGORUN's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
csgorun:v1/box/egg/show, 11 Nov, 10:14 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 94.01%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Nov, 04:54 UTC | $0.38 | 94.01% | 49 |
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $0.38 | 92.50% | 49 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listed1 4.2%2 4.5%extraordinary 0.0%Immortal 0.0%covert 0.0%red 0.0%classified 0.0%industrial 4.1%pink 0.8%restricted 5.9%#d32ee6 0.0%Legendary 0.1%mil spec 11.8%#8847ff 3.5%uncommon 0.2%#4b69ff 14.6%milspec 10.5%violet 10.5%consumer 8.3%Mil Spec 4.4%blueLight 4.4%#5e98d9 4.4%Common 4.1%#b0c3d9 3.8%best hit —