Gensyxa

A case on CSGORUN (media), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORUN's own item price.

Price
$10.99
Advertised RTP
93.20%
EV $10.24 from 42 items
Observed RTP, 30d
95.15%
679 openings, odds method
Variance
0.8×
of price², per opening
Tail share
22.1%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
62.6%
of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
100.53%±15.43134 openings
7 days
94.21%±8.19476 openings
30 days
95.15%±6.87679 openings
since tracking started
95.15%±6.87679 openings
84.5%100.5%116.5%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h134100.53%±15.4+0.9σodds
7d47694.21%±8.19+0.2σodds
30d67995.15%±6.87+0.5σodds
All67995.15%±6.87+0.5σodds
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values42 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 679 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
ItemOddsValueEV shareObservedExpectedHot / cold
★ M9 Bayonet | Slaughter (Field-Tested)knife · covert1 in 500,000$7140.0%00.0—
AWP | Fade (Factory New)weapon · covert1 in 500,000$6420.0%00.0—
AK-47 | Vulcan (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert1 in 125,000$3540.0%00.0—
★ Flip Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New)knife · covert1 in 41,667$2520.1%00.0—
★ Hand Wraps | Cobalt Skulls (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinary1 in 16,667$1840.1%00.0—
★ Gut Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New)knife · Immortal1 in 7,576$1510.2%00.1—
★ Navaja Knife | Doppler (Factory New)knife · Covert1 in 3,205$1110.3%00.2—
P90 | Death by Kitty (Field-Tested)weapon · covert1 in 1,209$80.520.7%00.6—
Glock-18 | Dragon Tattoo (Factory New)weapon · restricted1 in 1,208$78.660.6%00.6—
Glock-18 | Bullet Queen (Field-Tested)weapon · covert1 in 368$54.441.4%21.81.08×
★ Gut Knife | Ultraviolet (Field-Tested)knife · Covert1 in 320$53.111.6%32.11.41×
★ Driver Gloves | Queen Jaguar (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinary1 in 302$49.571.6%12.20.45×
★ Shadow Daggers | Ultraviolet (Field-Tested)knife · covert1 in 244$46.661.9%52.81.80×
★ Navaja Knife | Ultraviolet (Field-Tested)knife · covert1 in 224$45.682.0%43.01.32×
AWP | Neo-Noir (Field-Tested)weapon · covert1 in 188$40.762.1%53.61.38×
Glock-18 | Neo-Noir (Field-Tested)weapon · Ancient1 in 148$37.732.5%64.61.30×
MAC-10 | Fade (Factory New)weapon · mil spec1 in 145$37.312.5%44.70.85×
M4A4 | Faded Zebra (Minimal Wear)weapon · Rare1 in 247$32.051.3%52.71.82×
Sawed-Off | Wasteland Princess (Field-Tested)weapon · classified1 in 99$25.992.6%116.91.60×
AWP | Pink DDPAT (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted1 in 63$23.843.7%1310.81.20×
Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted1 in 72$23.463.2%109.41.06×
G3SG1 | Violet Murano (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec1 in 43$22.375.1%1015.80.63×
MAC-10 | Amber Fade (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec1 in 37$19.805.2%1718.10.94×
M249 | Blizzard Marbleized (Field-Tested)weapon · industrial1 in 30$14.004.5%2422.41.07×
AK-47 | Crane Flight (Field-Tested)weapon · pink1 in 18$13.477.3%3137.60.82×
SG 553 | Ultraviolet (Field-Tested)weapon · Rare1 in 14$12.018.2%5547.51.16×
Five-SeveN | Copper Galaxy (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted1 in 12$11.429.3%5256.30.92×
MP7 | Fade (Factory New)weapon · restricted1 in 13$10.247.8%5753.21.07×
P2000 | Granite Marbleized (Factory New)weapon · industrial1 in 26$9.713.7%2126.60.79×
Galil AR | Amber Fade (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff1 in 26$9.213.5%2426.60.90×
USP-S | Royal Blue (Field-Tested)weapon · industrial1 in 26$7.813.0%3126.61.17×
MAC-10 | Disco Tech (Field-Tested)weapon · Legendary1 in 26$5.602.1%2326.60.87×
UMP-45 | Neo-Noir (Field-Tested)weapon · Legendary1 in 26$4.381.7%2026.60.75×
Dual Berettas | Royal Consorts (Field-Tested)weapon · violet1 in 26$4.111.6%2826.61.05×
AK-47 | Baroque Purple (Field-Tested)weapon · Uncommon1 in 26$4.001.5%2826.61.05×
Glock-18 | Vogue (Field-Tested)weapon · Legendary1 in 26$3.671.4%2326.60.87×
MAC-10 | Ultraviolet (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec1 in 26$3.291.3%3326.61.24×
USP-S | Purple DDPAT (Field-Tested)weapon · blue1 in 26$2.791.1%3726.61.39×
MAC-10 | Allure (Factory New)weapon · Mythical1 in 26$2.390.9%2326.60.87×
Glock-18 | Royal Legion (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted1 in 26$2.320.9%1926.60.72×
USP-S | Royal Guard (Minimal Wear)weapon · Mythical1 in 26$2.290.9%2726.61.02×
Desert Eagle | Mulberry (Field-Tested)weapon · Mythical1 in 26$2.010.8%2726.61.02×
Values are CSGORUN's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from csgorun:v1/box/gensyxa/show, 11 Nov, 10:14 UTC.

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 93.20%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
4 Nov, 04:54 UTC$10.9993.20%42
3 Nov, 04:27 UTC$10.9993.70%42
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedcovert 1.7%extraordinary 0.3%Immortal 0.0%Covert 0.3%restricted 23.1%Ancient 0.7%mil spec 9.6%Rare 7.4%classified 1.0%industrial 11.1%pink 5.5%#4b69ff 3.9%Legendary 11.7%violet 3.9%Uncommon 3.9%blue 3.9%Mythical 11.7%best hit —