Price
$75.00
Advertised RTP
89.28%
EV $66.96 from 42 items
Observed RTP, 30d
84.97%
118 openings, odds method
Variance
0.8×
of price², per opening
Tail share
24.9%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
70.2%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values42 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 118 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are CSGORUN's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
csgorun:v1/box/ghosthouse/show, 8 Nov, 19:51 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 89.28%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Nov, 04:54 UTC | $75.00 | 89.28% | 42 |
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $75.00 | 91.74% | 42 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 19.6%epic 0.2%gold 4.0%extraordinary 2.8%restricted 8.6%mil spec 21.5%classified 13.1%sunny 5.1%industrial 7.3%Ancient 4.3%pink 3.4%red 3.5%Mythical 3.9%violet 1.5%Classified 1.3%best hit —