Ghostship
A case on CSGORUN (halloween2026), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORUN's own item price.
Price
$50.00
Advertised RTP
92.35%
EV $46.17 from 42 items
Observed RTP, 30d
103.47%
187 openings, odds method
Variance
0.9×
of price², per opening
Tail share
25.2%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
69.4%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values42 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 187 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are CSGORUN's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
csgorun:v1/box/ghostship/show, 8 Nov, 19:51 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 92.35%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Nov, 04:54 UTC | $50.00 | 92.35% | 42 |
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $50.00 | 94.06% | 42 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 27.2%legendary 0.0%extraordinary 3.4%classified 5.7%restricted 13.4%red 0.6%mil spec 22.1%covert knife 2.9%#4b69ff 5.6%Ancient 4.7%Legendary 3.6%industrial 3.1%Restricted 2.8%#87c7ff 1.8%pink 1.6%Common 1.5%best hit —