Harlequin
A case on CSGORUN (coll2026), first seen 5 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORUN's own item price.
Price
$0.68
Advertised RTP
95.14%
EV $0.65 from 26 items
Observed RTP, 30d
94.44%
600 openings, odds method
Variance
1.1×
of price², per opening
Tail share
23.9%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
58.3%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values26 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 744 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are CSGORUN's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
csgorun:v1/box/harlequin/show, 11 Nov, 10:14 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 95.14%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 Nov, 05:23 UTC | $0.68 | 95.14% | 26 |
| 5 Nov, 23:09 UTC | $0.68 | 94.00% | 26 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedpink 0.0%#d32ce6 0.0%Mythical 0.2%classified 0.1%restricted 1.7%#8847ff 5.6%#4b69ff 45.4%#5e98d9 18.5%milspec 9.4%Rare 7.1%Uncommon 8.0%blueLight 4.1%best hit —