Huntsman

A case on CSGORUN (coll2026), first seen 5 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORUN's own item price.

Price
$4.49
Advertised RTP
92.35%
EV $4.15 from 36 items
Observed RTP, 30d
92.06%
181 openings, odds method
Variance
1.0×
of price², per opening
Tail share
27.5%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
64.7%
of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
7 days
92.06%±14.25181 openings
30 days
92.06%±14.25181 openings
since tracking started
92.06%±14.25181 openings
77.0%92.0%107.0%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h0———
7d18192.06%±14.2−0.0σodds
30d18192.06%±14.2−0.0σodds
All18192.06%±14.2−0.0σodds
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values36 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 266 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
ItemOddsValueEV shareObservedExpectedHot / cold
AK-47 | Vulcan (Factory New)weapon · covert1 in 500,000$5380.0%00.0—
★ Huntsman Knife | Blue Steel (Factory New)knife · covert1 in 333,333$4750.0%00.0—
★ Huntsman Knife | Fade (Minimal Wear)knife · covert1 in 200,000$3710.0%00.0—
AK-47 | Vulcan (Field-Tested)weapon · covert1 in 62,500$1800.1%00.0—
★ Huntsman Knife | Blue Steel (Minimal Wear)knife · Covert1 in 31,250$1380.1%00.0—
★ Huntsman Knife | Scorched (Minimal Wear)knife · covert1 in 15,152$1060.2%00.0—
★ Huntsman Knife | Night (Field-Tested)knife · covert1 in 6,329$78.710.3%00.0—
★ Huntsman Knife | Forest DDPAT (Field-Tested)knife · covert knife1 in 2,577$53.580.5%00.1—
M4A1-S | Atomic Alloy (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified1 in 944$40.251.0%00.3—
M4A4 | Desert-Strike (Minimal Wear)weapon · Ancient1 in 565$33.701.4%00.5—
M4A1-S | Atomic Alloy (Field-Tested)weapon · classified1 in 283$24.672.1%10.9—
USP-S | Caiman (Field-Tested)weapon · classified1 in 219$23.542.6%01.20.00×
Tec-9 | Isaac (Factory New)weapon · mil spec1 in 77$13.734.3%03.40.00×
CZ75-Auto | Poison Dart (Factory New)weapon · mil spec1 in 61$12.625.0%84.31.85×
AUG | Torque (Factory New)weapon · restricted1 in 34$9.176.5%47.80.51×
MAC-10 | Tatter (Factory New)weapon · violet1 in 43$8.955.0%46.20.65×
XM1014 | Heaven Guard (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted1 in 18$6.468.7%2814.91.88×
AUG | Torque (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted1 in 18$5.837.6%714.40.48×
PP-Bizon | Antique (Minimal Wear)weapon · #8847ff1 in 14$5.689.8%1318.90.69×
Tec-9 | Isaac (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec1 in 13$5.3210.1%2620.81.25×
Galil AR | Kami (Factory New)weapon · #4b69ff1 in 12$4.238.5%3422.21.53×
Dual Berettas | Retribution (Factory New)weapon · Mil Spec Grade1 in 27$3.803.4%1210.01.20×
Tec-9 | Isaac (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec1 in 27$3.423.1%910.00.90×
CZ75-Auto | Poison Dart (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec1 in 27$3.323.0%710.00.70×
Galil AR | Kami (Minimal Wear)weapon · #4b69ff1 in 27$2.692.4%1510.01.50×
CZ75-Auto | Poison Dart (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff1 in 27$2.482.2%1210.01.20×
CZ75-Auto | Twist (Factory New)weapon · mil spec1 in 27$2.232.0%710.00.70×
P2000 | Pulse (Minimal Wear)weapon · Rare1 in 27$1.701.5%1310.01.30×
Galil AR | Kami (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec1 in 27$1.541.4%710.00.70×
SSG 08 | Slashed (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec1 in 27$1.371.2%1310.01.30×
P90 | Module (Factory New)weapon · mil spec1 in 27$1.251.1%710.00.70×
CZ75-Auto | Twist (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec1 in 27$1.181.1%1210.01.20×
P90 | Module (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec1 in 27$1.081.0%810.00.80×
CZ75-Auto | Twist (Field-Tested)weapon · Rare1 in 27$0.990.9%510.00.50×
P90 | Module (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec1 in 27$0.980.9%510.00.50×
P2000 | Pulse (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec1 in 27$0.870.8%910.00.90×
Values are CSGORUN's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from csgorun:v1/box/huntsman/show, 11 Nov, 10:14 UTC.

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 92.35%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
6 Nov, 05:23 UTC$4.4992.35%36
5 Nov, 23:09 UTC$4.4994.00%36
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedcovert 0.0%Covert 0.0%covert knife 0.0%classified 0.9%Ancient 0.2%mil spec 48.3%restricted 14.0%violet 2.3%#8847ff 7.1%#4b69ff 15.9%Mil Spec Grade 3.8%Rare 7.5%best hit —