Jujutsukaisen

A case on CSGORUN (oldcasesale), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORUN's own item price.

Price
$2.01
Advertised RTP
93.62%
EV $1.88 from 42 items
Observed RTP, 30d
88.74%
274 openings, odds method
Variance
1.7×
of price², per opening
Tail share
22.9%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
59.5%
of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
90.01%±17.03222 openings
7 days
90.17%±16.09248 openings
30 days
88.74%±15.30274 openings
since tracking started
88.74%±15.30274 openings
72.5%90.0%107.5%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h22290.01%±17.0−0.4σodds
7d24890.17%±16.1−0.4σodds
30d27488.74%±15.3−0.6σodds
All27488.74%±15.3−0.6σodds
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values42 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 274 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
ItemOddsValueEV shareObservedExpectedHot / cold
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Vulcan (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · covert1 in 1,000,000$1,2650.1%00.0—
★ Hand Wraps | CAUTION! (Factory New)gloves · legendary1 in 1,000,000$6260.0%00.0—
★ Driver Gloves | Brocade Crane (Minimal Wear)gloves · Immortal1 in 1,000,000$4530.0%00.0—
AK-47 | Case Hardened (Factory New)weapon · classified1 in 1,000,000$4050.0%00.0—
★ Skeleton Knife | Crimson Web (Field-Tested)knife · covert1 in 500,000$2900.0%00.0—
M4A1-S | Fade (Factory New)weapon · epic1 in 250,000$1720.0%00.0—
★ Driver Gloves | Wave Chaser (Battle-Scarred)gloves · gold1 in 142,857$1310.0%00.0—
AK-47 | Inheritance (Factory New)weapon · covert1 in 100,000$99.580.1%00.0—
★ Bowie Knife | Autotronic (Well-Worn)knife · Immortal1 in 71,429$82.960.1%00.0—
AWP | LongDog (Battle-Scarred)weapon · Ancient1 in 7,194$39.180.3%00.0—
AK-47 | Legion of Anubis (Field-Tested)weapon · covert1 in 5,682$35.430.3%00.0—
Desert Eagle | Starcade (Well-Worn)weapon · uncommon1 in 6,024$34.360.3%00.0—
M4A4 | Full Throttle (Well-Worn)weapon · red1 in 3,597$28.870.4%00.1—
SCAR-20 | Cyrex (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified1 in 3,891$27.120.4%00.1—
Glock-18 | Snack Attack (Battle-Scarred)weapon · pink1 in 708$16.301.2%00.4—
MP7 | Smoking Kills (Minimal Wear)weapon · Legendary1 in 335$11.621.8%10.8—
UMP-45 | Wild Child (Factory New)weapon · pink1 in 452$11.391.3%10.6—
USP-S | Sleeping Potion (Factory New)weapon · Mythical1 in 141$7.612.9%01.90.00×
AK-47 | The Outsiders (Field-Tested)weapon · rare1 in 118$6.272.8%22.30.86×
StatTrak™ M4A4 | Tooth Fairy (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · classified1 in 111$6.112.9%42.51.62×
AWP | POP AWP (Field-Tested)weapon · #8847ff1 in 110$5.762.8%32.51.21×
StatTrak™ AWP | Phobos (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · restricted1 in 64$4.804.0%24.30.47×
AUG | Stymphalian (Minimal Wear)weapon · #d32ee61 in 60$4.383.9%44.60.88×
XM1014 | Entombed (Battle-Scarred)weapon · pink1 in 47$3.714.2%65.81.04×
AWP | Atheris (Well-Worn)weapon · restricted1 in 44$3.584.3%56.20.81×
AK-47 | Wintergreen (Factory New)weapon · blue1 in 47$3.554.0%55.80.87×
Five-SeveN | Urban Hazard (Factory New)weapon · mil spec1 in 34$3.144.9%68.10.74×
M4A4 | Griffin (Battle-Scarred)weapon · restricted1 in 34$3.044.8%88.20.98×
P250 | Vino Primo (Minimal Wear)weapon · #8847ff1 in 32$2.774.6%108.51.17×
M4A4 | Evil Daimyo (Field-Tested)weapon · Mythical1 in 29$2.734.9%109.31.08×
MAC-10 | Saibā Oni (Minimal Wear)weapon · Mythical1 in 24$2.445.5%2311.61.98×
M4A1-S | Liquidation (Field-Tested)weapon · violet1 in 20$2.045.5%1014.00.71×
XM1014 | Solitude (Minimal Wear)weapon · #8847ff1 in 20$2.025.3%1413.51.04×
Glock-18 | Grinder (Minimal Wear)weapon · Mythical1 in 22$1.964.6%1012.20.82×
Galil AR | Signal (Factory New)weapon · restricted1 in 18$1.735.1%1115.10.73×
P90 | Vent Rush (Factory New)weapon · Mythical1 in 17$1.294.1%1616.20.99×
StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Brother (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · restricted1 in 16$1.143.7%1516.70.90×
P90 | Wave Breaker (Minimal Wear)weapon · violet1 in 15$0.772.7%2217.81.24×
Tec-9 | Bamboozle (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted1 in 14$0.582.1%1819.00.95×
Glock-18 | Umbral Rabbit (Well-Worn)weapon · 31 in 13$0.401.7%2121.30.98×
P90 | Neoqueen (Field-Tested)weapon · violet1 in 13$0.351.4%2121.11.00×
FAMAS | Yeti Camo (Well-Worn)weapon · milspec1 in 12$0.200.9%2623.51.10×
Values are CSGORUN's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from csgorun:v1/box/jujutsukaisen/show, 11 Nov, 16:28 UTC.

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 93.62%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
5 Nov, 23:09 UTC$2.0193.62%42
4 Nov, 04:54 UTC$2.0492.25%42
3 Nov, 04:27 UTC$2.0493.43%42
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed3 7.8%covert 0.0%legendary 0.0%Immortal 0.0%classified 0.9%epic 0.0%gold 0.0%Ancient 0.0%uncommon 0.0%red 0.0%pink 2.5%Legendary 0.3%Mythical 18.7%rare 0.8%#8847ff 8.9%restricted 25.3%#d32ee6 1.7%blue 2.1%mil spec 2.9%violet 19.3%milspec 8.6%best hit —