Morphilina
A case on CSGORUN (media), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORUN's own item price.
Price
$1.29
Advertised RTP
91.98%
EV $1.19 from 42 items
Observed RTP, 30d
95.78%
3,724 openings, odds method
Variance
0.7×
of price², per opening
Tail share
27.8%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
58.6%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Outside band, 30 days. Advertised 92.26% sits outside the 95% band of the observed openings (93.09% – 98.46%, 3,724 openings, 30 days). The band comes from the site's own odds and values; the figure is a fact about these openings, not a verdict on the case.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values42 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 3,725 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are CSGORUN's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
csgorun:v1/box/morphilina/show, 11 Nov, 10:14 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 91.98%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Nov, 04:54 UTC | $1.29 | 91.98% | 42 |
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $1.29 | 93.61% | 42 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedImmortal 0.0%Legendary 0.7%Rare 5.6%classified 0.0%industrial 4.2%restricted 10.0%mil spec 16.5%consumer 5.7%Consumer Grade 0.3%#B0C3D9 0.3%gray 0.3%Mythical 14.2%blue 2.0%#8847ff 18.1%Mil Spec Grade 5.2%violet 12.6%#4b69ff 4.2%best hit —