Nuke 2018
A case on CSGORUN (coll2026), first seen 5 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORUN's own item price.
Price
$0.99
Advertised RTP
91.87%
EV $0.91 from 31 items
Observed RTP, 30d
97.45%
198 openings, odds method
Variance
0.9×
of price², per opening
Tail share
23.2%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
61.7%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values31 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 324 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are CSGORUN's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
csgorun:v1/box/nuke2018/show, 11 Nov, 10:14 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 91.87%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 Nov, 05:23 UTC | $0.99 | 91.87% | 31 |
| 5 Nov, 23:09 UTC | $0.99 | 94.00% | 31 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedLegendary 0.0%restricted 4.3%classified 2.4%pink 0.0%#8847ff 0.0%Rare 3.6%mil spec 3.0%blue 11.9%Mythical 11.8%violet 6.9%#4b69ff 22.5%industrial 11.2%light blue 5.6%#87c7ff 11.2%milspec 5.6%best hit —