Overpass
A case on CSGORUN (coll2026), first seen 5 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORUN's own item price.
Price
$2.49
Advertised RTP
92.53%
EV $2.30 from 36 items
Observed RTP, 30d
92.59%
509 openings, sample method
Variance
1.4×
of price², per opening
Tail share
18.7%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
73.4%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 509 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values36 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 509 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are CSGORUN's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
csgorun:v1/box/overpass/show, 11 Nov, 10:14 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 92.53%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 Nov, 05:23 UTC | $2.49 | 92.53% | 36 |
| 5 Nov, 23:09 UTC | $2.49 | 94.00% | 36 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedclassified 0.0%restricted 0.0%mil spec 2.8%industrial 10.1%Consumer Grade 12.4%#87c7ff 6.6%gray 0.5%blue 1.2%consumer 13.1%#4b69ff 2.4%common 6.2%Uncommon 7.9%Industrial Grade 18.4%blueLight 6.1%Common 6.1%other 6.1%best hit —