Paradeev 1ch
A case on CSGORUN (media), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORUN's own item price.
Price
$6.49
Advertised RTP
98.07%
EV $6.36 from 42 items
Observed RTP, 30d
102.11%
647 openings, odds method
Variance
1.3×
of price², per opening
Tail share
23.3%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
63.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values42 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 647 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are CSGORUN's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
csgorun:v1/box/paradeev1ch/show, 11 Nov, 10:14 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 98.07%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Nov, 04:54 UTC | $6.49 | 98.07% | 42 |
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $6.49 | 96.31% | 42 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listed2 3.2%covert 0.1%sunny 0.0%rare 0.1%mil spec 21.0%covert knife 0.3%#ffd700 0.3%gold 0.3%extraordinary 0.6%restricted 7.9%industrial 10.1%#4b69ff 4.4%milspec 6.4%Industrial Grade 3.2%pink 3.2%#87c7ff 3.2%classified 3.2%Mythical 3.2%Rare 9.7%Mil Spec Grade 3.2%#B0C3D9 3.2%Consumer Grade 6.5%#8847ff 3.2%gray 3.2%best hit —