Parfum
A case on CSGORUN (hype2026), first seen 5 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORUN's own item price.
Price
$14.99
Advertised RTP
94.06%
EV $14.10 from 39 items
Observed RTP, 30d
85.49%
1,259 openings, odds method
Variance
3.0×
of price², per opening
Tail share
19.9%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
67.1%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values39 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,349 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are CSGORUN's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
csgorun:v1/box/parfum/show, 11 Nov, 10:14 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 94.06%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov, 15:30 UTC | $14.99 | 94.06% | 39 |
| 5 Nov, 23:09 UTC | $14.99 | 94.00% | 39 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 1.2%classified 5.0%restricted 27.3%Immortal 0.1%epic 0.2%mil spec 20.7%milspec 1.4%other 1.4%red 5.5%Mythical 8.1%violet 14.6%Legendary 4.9%Mil Spec Grade 4.9%blue 4.9%best hit —