Purple
A case on CSGORUN (palette2026), first seen 5 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORUN's own item price.
Price
$19.99
Advertised RTP
93.69%
EV $18.73 from 40 items
Observed RTP, 30d
93.72%
141 openings, odds method
Variance
1.1×
of price², per opening
Tail share
18.3%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
74.3%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values40 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 207 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are CSGORUN's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
csgorun:v1/box/purple/show, 11 Nov, 10:14 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 93.69%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 Nov, 05:23 UTC | $19.99 | 93.69% | 40 |
| 5 Nov, 23:09 UTC | $19.99 | 94.00% | 40 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedlegendary 0.0%sunny 4.1%covert 7.9%extraordinary 0.0%gold 2.1%rare 5.4%restricted 10.1%Mythical 0.5%#ffd700 1.3%Covert 1.6%Rare 7.1%classified 15.3%mil spec 14.9%pink 14.9%#d32ee6 5.0%uncommon 5.0%Legendary 5.0%best hit —